00:01
Okay, if we're fitting this into a linear model in years since 1990, we know that our intercept is going to be 275 million pounds, slope 42 million pounds per year.
00:12
So we're going to get a line that looks like y equals 42x plus 275.
00:18
Let's fit this into the equation, q of t, where q is the annual imports of pasta.
00:25
T is the number of years since 1990, 42t plus 275.
00:32
To find the four -year moving average, we need to remember that the average value of this, we're not looking at average value.
00:46
We need to think about this as a point here, point here.
00:51
This is going to be some point a, b, this is going to be a plus four, and we know that that is going to change b plus 42 times four.
01:08
And we want to figure out what is the area under this curve? well, it's the area of this triangle plus the area of this rectangle...