00:01
A company sells trip insurance to people going on vacation.
00:03
The charge is $75 for a trip.
00:06
The company has an estimate that the probability of a successful claim being filed is 4 .2%.
00:16
And the payout is $560.
00:20
So they charge $75.
00:26
We have a probability of 4 .2 % that there will be a successful payout, and that payout is $560.
00:38
What is their expectation for each policy sold? sometimes this can be a little bit challenging, and so i'll pick a number.
00:46
So in this case, i'll pick it easy to work with number, and i'll say, well, let's say we had 100 claims.
00:53
So we charged 75 times 100 or 7 ,500.
00:59
But in those 100 claims, we paid out 4 .2 % of the time, which means 4 .2 times.
01:06
We paid out $560, and so that was $2 ,352 that we paid out.
01:16
And if i subtract those, i'll get $5 ,148.
01:20
And then i can divide that by $100 again to get it to per payout.
01:25
So $51 .48 is what i can expect for each policy sold...