00:01
So we have 100 ,000 people in 2010, and that went to 98 ,000 in 2011.
00:13
So if we use an exponential model, then we're going to let 2010 be times zero, and that's our initial population, and then we're going to have 98 ,000 after one year.
00:32
So divide both sides by 100 ,000.
00:37
You're going to have 0 .98 equal to e to the r.
00:46
Take the natural log of both sides, bring down your exponent, so r is equal to ln of 0 .98.
00:59
Now we want to know what will the population be in 2020.
01:05
So in 2020, my time is going to be 10, so i have 100 ,000 e to the ln 0 .98 times 10, and that's going to give me my population.
01:27
So let's raise e to the ln 0 .98 times 10, and then multiply that by 100 ,000, and that is going to give me a population of 81 ,707 .28...