A decision maker who is considered to be a risk taker is faced with this set of probabilities State of Nature Decision s1 s2 s3 d1 5 10 20 d2 -25 0 50 d3 -50 -10 80 Probability .30 .35 .35 Rank the decision alternatives on the basis of expected value. Select one: a. d1, d3, d2 b. d3, d1, d2 c. d2, d3, d1 d. d1, d2, d3
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The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature. Decision Alternative States of Nature s1 s2 s3 d1 270 120 45 d2 120 120 95 Suppose that the decision maker obtained the probabilities P(s1) = 0.65, P(s2) = 0.15, and P(s3) = 0.20. Use the expected value approach to determine the optimal decision. EV(d1)= (need answer here) EV(d2)= (need answer here) The optimal decision is ? (d₁( or (d₂) .
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