00:01
For this problem, we want to figure out what proportion of students receive some sort of financial aid.
00:08
To do this, we have a random sample of 199 students.
00:14
So n is 199, and i'll use a for aid.
00:19
Of these 199, we find that 67 of them are receiving financial aid.
00:27
And given this information, we want to construct a 95 % confidence interval for the actual proportion of students who receive financial aid.
00:38
So let's recall how we construct these confidence intervals.
00:42
So you take your point estimate for the actual proportion, which we will calculate in a moment, and then to get the endpoints of the confidence interval, you add or subtract the margin of error term, which is given by a z score associated with the 95 % level of confidence times the square root of p hat times 1 minus p hat over n.
01:02
So we just need to work out this z score and this point estimate p hat.
01:09
Point estimate is simple enough.
01:11
We just take the ratio of students in our sample who are receiving aid, that's 67, over the total number of students sampled, which is 199.
01:23
Point estimate works out to be approximately 0 .337, two three decimal places, though i will keep the exact answer in my calculator till the end of the calculation.
01:38
Ok, and now we need this z score.
01:41
So let me just explain how we get that.
01:44
Take yourself a standard normal distribution.
01:47
So mean zero, standard deviation of one.
01:51
And then this z score is such that the area between minus z sub c and plus z sub c is equal to 95 % of the area under the curve, since we want a 95 % confidence interval.
02:05
So this area i'm shading in red here, this is 0 .95.
02:12
And due to the symmetry of the normal curve, that means the remaining 0 .05 area is equally distributed in the two tails here, which is 0 .025 in each tail.
02:28
And now we can say that the area to the left of the z score is 0 .975, which i'll now write down as a cumulative probability, which can easily be turned into the z score by using z score tables or calculators...