00:01
Hello, sultam i'm going to answer your question about probabilities and the policy of overbooking for a company.
00:07
For doing so, first i ground the parameters, so you have the probability that a passenger show is 0 .82.
00:15
Then you have that they sell 25 tickets and you want to know that they oversell.
00:22
So all the passengers appear in this case will be 25.
00:25
So this will follow a binomial distribution because you want to measure the specific amount of success.
00:32
The probability exactly, so success in this case will be measured as showing up and failure or done.
00:39
For doing so i need to apply this formula.
00:41
N will be the number of trials.
00:44
N minus x will be the difference of the number of trials and the specific amount of success that you want to measure.
00:50
P is raised to the x, the x as i explain what the specific amount of success that you want to measure, and then you multiply by 1 minus p, also known as q, and then you have to raise that to the difference between the number of trials and the number of success.
01:06
I think it's always easier to understand a formula when you start applying it.
01:10
So the number of trials or then a total amount of tickets that you sell are 25 so in this case 25 will be your number of tickets.
01:20
Then you want to check the probability that all the passengers appear in your case will be x will be 25 also because that means that every passenger appears so n minus x will be 25 minus 25 so serio factorial times 25 factorial, 0 .82 is the probability of a single success, raise 2x in your case 25 times q or 1 minus p, raise to n minus x, that would be 0.
01:46
As you may recall, 0 factorial is 1...