00:01
So for this problem, we have a mean of 13 .3 % and a standard deviation of 19 % or 19 .0.
00:12
And we're going under the assumption that we have a normal random variable.
00:16
So for a, we're looking for the probability that the mean annual return on common stocks over the next 45 years.
00:24
Okay.
00:24
So actually, one thing that i'm going to make a modification for is actually we are answering questions here, not just about the mean and standard deviation or the distribution of the stocks for a particular year, but we want effectively to make a statement about sample means, or the sample mean for sample sizes of 45 years.
00:49
So we have mu x bar is going to be 13 .3 still, but the standard deviation of x bar for our sample size is going to be the standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size, which gives us a standard deviation here of 2 .832, roughly.
01:09
Having that, then, we're looking for the probability that x bar is greater than 12, which what we can do is convert this into a standard normal variable by taking z greater than 12 minus mu 13 .3 over sigma x -bar 2 .832...