00:03
For this question, we assume that the posan distribution applies to the occurrence of hurricanes in a certain area.
00:09
So that is, the number of hurricanes follows a posan distribution with a mean of 7 .1 per year.
00:19
And for part a, we're asked to find the probability that in a given year, there will be five hurricanes.
00:25
So we want the probability that x is equal to five.
00:29
In general, the probability function for a posan random variable is given by this formula.
00:34
So for the probability that x equals 5, we use the probability function.
00:50
We have the mean of 7 .1 to the exponent 5 times e to the minus 7 .1 over 5 factorial.
01:02
It comes out to a probability of approximately 0 .1241, surrounding to 4 decimal places.
01:12
And then for part b, we're asked in a 45 year period, how many years are expected to have 5 hurricanes? so let's define a random variable y as the number.
01:24
Number of years with five hurricanes.
01:33
This is out of the 45 years...