Math 133: 9.4 Worksheet #2
9.4: Sample Size; More on Confidence Intervals
1. A researcher wants to construct a 99.5% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the U.S. that believe civilians need to have the power to sue police officers for excessive force. NOTE: Use 3 decimal places for z-score. (Source)
a. Estimate how many people need to be surveyed if no prior estimate of p is available and the researcher wants to be within 3% of the true proportion. (Give formula, substitution, and result)
b. A Pew Research poll taken in June 2020 estimates this proportion to be 0.66. Using this estimate, now how many people are needed to be surveyed (staying with the C-level and margin of error from part a)? (Give formula, substitution, and result)
c. The sample size from part b would be if the margin of error was lowered but the C-level remained the same. (Circle one)
Smaller Larger The same Cannot be determined
2. In October 2012, vice-presidential candidates Joe Biden and Paul Ryan had a televised debate. Afterwards two different polls were conducted asking "who won the debate?"
Which survey is a better/more reliable measure of the "winner" of the debate? Explain.
Who won the debate? Poll #1: 431 random people Poll #2: 191897 people online
Joe Biden 50% 46%
Paul Ryan 31% 48%
Neither 19% 6%