BINARY OPTIONS
Binary options are also known as cash or nothing call or digital options. This option has the following payoff
payoff = { A if ST > K
0 if ST < K
Here A is some amount, K is the strike/exercise price, T is the time of maturity.
Assume that we have a Black-Scholes model, that is, a non-dividend paying stock if St satisfies the stochastic differential equation (SDE)
dSt = μStdt + σStdBt
for constants μ, σ and B is a ℙ-Brownian motion. Here ℙ is the physical probability measure and we know that the solution to the above SDE is
St = S0e^(μ-1/2σ²)t+σBt
where S0 is the stock price at time t = 0.
1. Show that ᄅℙ[ST] = S0eʳᄑ, where μ is the expected growth rate for S.
2. Show that under the risk-neutral probability measure ℚ, then ᄅℚ[ST] = S0eʳᄑ, where r is the risk free interest rate.
3. We can rewrite the payoff of the binary option as Aᄉ{ST>K}, where ᄉ{ST>K} = 1 if ST > K and zero otherwise.
Determine the price of the binary option ie. e⁻ʳ⁽ᄑ⁻ᄐ⁾ᄅℚ[Aᄉ{ST>K}]
4. Suppose S is lognormal process under some probability measure ℚ (it could be the risk-neutral measure, forward measure, etc). Let σ̃ = sd(ln(ST/S0)), where sd means the standard deviation. Show that ᄅℚ[STᄉ{ST>K}] = ᄅℚ[ST]N(d*), where
d* = (ln(ᄅℚ[ST]/K) + 1/2σ̃²) / σ̃
Here N represents the standard normal cumulative distribution function.