00:01
Hey there, welcome to numerate.
00:03
So we are looking at the state of california, where it is a region that is prone for earthquakes.
00:13
So with this, we have 26 % of all homeowners that are insured for earthquake damage.
00:20
So if we have s and f, and one possible outcome is that three of them are insured, and one of them is not.
00:28
So this is the associated.
00:30
Value of three so basically what we have here is 0 .26 raised to the third multiply by let's actually get rid of the parentheses here 0 .26 raised to the third multiplied by 0 .74 and we get a value rounded to your answers to four decimal places of around 0 .0 .130.
01:24
Let's see if that's the answer here.
01:28
0 .26 raised 3 3rd times 0 .74 .0 .0 .130.
01:35
Okay.
01:36
So we're gonna do the rest here.
01:38
So we have 0 of them are insured here.
01:43
So it would just be 0 .74.
01:51
Raised to the fourth.
01:56
Zero of them are insured.
02:04
0 .74 raised to the fourth.
02:12
Equally around a probability of 0 .2999.
02:26
So i actually create more space with here.
02:28
0 .2 .999.
02:35
Let's make this smaller a little bit.
02:37
All right so with this here i want to make sure we have a room so we can actually move this move it like this okay so now one of them is in in short so what we have here is basically 0 .26 multiplied by 0 .74 raised to the third 0 .26 times 0 .74 raised 2d3rd.
03:27
0 .26 times 0 .74 raised 2rd equaling a probability of 0 .1054.
03:52
All right, perfect.
03:57
And then now for 2, let's move this aside here.
04:04
We have 2, so 0 .26 raise 2 2 2, times 0 .74 raised to the second.
04:13
Given us probability of, let's see here, 0 .26 raised to the second times 0 .74 raised to the second.
04:27
0 .26, 0 .74.
04:32
Giving us a probability of around 0 .370.
04:56
370 and then 4 so all of them are insured so just 0 .26 raised to 4th equaling around 0 .0046 4 6 all right perfect so now we had to draw the corresponding probability so let's say we have our histograms here so we have histograms here so we have histogram a over here and we have histogram b onto the right, histogram b and bottom left we have histogram c and bottom right is histogram d.
06:15
So which histogram is the correct frequency probability here.
06:28
So we have zero, zero is up to 0 .2999.
06:33
So all of them except b is incorrect.
06:37
Okay, so b and d is incorrect already.
06:40
So we can cross out them.
06:45
Now we left with a and c.
06:47
So zero was probability of 0 .299.
06:55
And then 1, probability 1 is 0 .10 .154.
07:02
So and 2 is around 0 .03.
07:08
And then 4 is 0 .0046.
07:19
Okay, so let me check.
07:21
So it looks like all of the incorrect except two, so let me double check my answer for two...