00:01
We're looking at three health risk factors.
00:03
We have some information on what proportion of population have different health risk factors.
00:09
So there are different ways we could display this data.
00:12
We could use a table.
00:14
We could use a tree diagram.
00:16
We could just write it out as a series of expressions like a and b.
00:20
I'm going to use a venn diagram.
00:23
So i need three big circles here.
00:31
And this is going to be a, b, and c.
00:35
So i know that 10 % have a risk factor and no others.
00:41
So 10 % have only a, 10 % have only b, 10 % have only c.
00:46
I know 12 % have 2, but not the other.
00:49
So 12 % have b and c, 12 % have a and c, 12 % have a and b.
00:56
Having risk factor a and b, a third have all three.
01:01
So the probability of all of them, given you have a and b, is a third.
01:12
Okay? oops, don't take the circle away.
01:16
So there's a very important formula i'm going to need in this question.
01:20
Probability of x and y is equal to probability, oops, probability of x given y is a probability of x and y divided by y.
01:39
So if i applied that to the information i've just been given, i know that all given a b is a third.
01:47
So a third is a and b, which is going to be a few different areas here, divided by probability of having all, divided by having a and b.
02:09
Okay, so we know the probability of having a and b is 12.
02:18
Plus x, whatever this is.
02:20
I'm just going to put x here.
02:23
I need to make some space for it.
02:24
Put you over here.
02:26
Here you go.
02:28
So a third is equal to x over 12 plus x.
02:37
So 4 plus x over 3 equals x, or 4 is 2 thirds x.
02:49
So x is 6.
02:51
So just some quick algebra there...