The Economics of Forestry
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If the trees are allowed to grow another \( T \) years, the volume of nerchantable timber will be \( Q(T)=e^{a-b /(A+T)} \). The unit price of timber, also independent of \( T \), is given by \( P>0 \). You seek the value of \( T \) that will maximize \( \pi(T)=\left(P e^{a-b /(A+T)}-\mathrm{c}+v\right) e^{-j T} \). Suppose that \( a=13, b=185, A=40, P=1.78, \mathrm{c}=1,000 \), \( \delta=0.05 \), and \( v=2,000 \). What is the value of \( T \) that maximizes \( \pi(T) \) ? Plot \( \pi(T) \) for \( T=\varepsilon, 1,2, \ldots, 50, \varepsilon=0.0001 \), to make sure that you have found a global maximum.
[4.2 You are the manager of a forest products company with land recently planted \( (t=0) \) with a fast-growing species of pine. The merchantable volume of timber at instant \( t \geq 0 \) is given by \( Q(t)= \) \( \alpha t+\beta t^{2}-\gamma t^{3} \), where \( \alpha=10, \beta=1 \), and \( \gamma=0.01 \).
(a) What is the maximum volume, and when does it occur? What rotation length maximizes mean annual increment \( [Q(T) / T] \), and what is the associated volume?
(b) If the net price per unit volume is \( p=1 \) and the discount rate is \( \delta=0.05 \), what is the optimal single rotation \( T_{S} \), volume at harvest \( Q\left(T_{S}\right) \), and present value \( \pi_{S}\left(T_{S}\right) \) ?
(c) If the cost of replanting is \( c=150 \), what is the optimal Faustmann rotation \( T^{*} \), volume at the Faustmann rotation \( Q\left(T^{*}\right) \), and present value \( \pi\left(T^{*}\right) \) ?
(d) If the price increases to \( p=2 \), what are the new values for \( T_{S} \) and \( T^{*} \) ? Do the new values make sense relative to their values when \( p=1 \) ?
E4.3 Suppose that the inventory of old-growth forest yields an amenity value given by \( A_{t}=a \ln \left(X_{t}\right) \), where \( a>0 \) and \( \ln (\bullet) \) is the natural \( { }^{l o g} \) operator. As in Section 4.6, let \( \delta>0 \) denote the discount rate, \( N>0 \) the net revenue from old-growth timber, and \( \pi \) the present value of recently replanted land under the optimal Faustmann rotation.
(a) What is the expression defining \( X^{*} \), the optimal old-growth inventory to preserve?
(b) Suppose that the initial stock of old-growth forest has been normalized to \( X_{0}=1 \) and that you estimate \( a=615, \delta=0.05 \), \( \pi=1,000 \), and \( N=40,000 \). What is the value for \( X^{*} \) ?