00:01
Hey there, welcome to numerade.
00:04
We are looking at a table here that summarizes the testing for a certain disease.
00:10
We're asked to find a probability that a subject does not have the disease, given that the test result is positive.
00:19
So again, what we can write down here is a base theorem equation, where we have the probability of does not have a disease.
00:30
So i'm going to denote this as no disease, given that the test result is positive.
00:47
So what this basically equals is the probability of getting a positive result, given no disease, multiplied by the probability of a positive result.
01:11
And then this is going to be divided by.
01:16
So what we get here is going to be divided by.
01:25
So this should be no disease.
01:46
Divided by the probability of getting positive results.
01:56
All right.
01:57
So what this basically will simplify into.
02:01
So this will equal the probability of a positive, well, sorry, a no disease.
02:22
And having a positive result.
02:27
So this thing is a bit too high.
02:36
And a positive result, this is then divided by the probability of a positive result.
03:06
All right.
03:08
So we can plug in our values here.
03:16
So in which we have for our first part, does not have the disease given the test result is positive...