00:01
In this question it's stated that about 20 % of people in america use a certain social media website.
00:07
So that's a probability of 0 .20 for any randomly selected american.
00:12
And we consider a randomly selected group of 15 americans.
00:17
And we're asked for the probabilities that certain numbers of these 15 use this website.
00:23
So let's define the random variable x as the number of people in the sample of 15 who use the website.
00:29
In this situation, each of the 15 people in the sample can be viewed as bernoulli trials having two outcomes of interest, either use the website or not.
00:38
And since it's a random sample, their outcomes are independent.
00:41
The number of successes in a fixed number of independent bernoulli trials is a binomial random variable.
00:47
So here we can say x is a binomial based on 15 trials and probability of success 0 .2 on each trial.
00:56
Probability function for the binomial random variable is in general terms given by this formula.
01:14
And for part a of this question we want the probability that at least one of the 15 uses the website.
01:22
So that is we want the probability that x is greater than or equal to 1.
01:27
This can be re -expressed as 1 minus the probability that x is equal to 0.
01:33
And using the probability function, the probability that x is equal to 0 is simplified to 1 minus p, which is 0 .8, to the exponent n, which is 15.
01:46
This comes out to approximately 0 .9648...