00:01
Hello, so i'm going to answer your question about probabilities and a specific case in the application of titanic case.
00:10
For doing so first, i sketch the table and then i start answering your question.
00:14
In this case, i have two divided because i have to apply a different logic in each question.
00:19
For the first question, where is the probability of a passenger that is a woman or there is a survivor? so for doing double accountability, first i calculate the probability of a death woman.
00:32
To be found so this would be 104 over the total of cases 200, 2025 and then i added the probability of being a survivor that would be 706 so as you can see these are the individual probabilities then i added and then i just calculate the ratio so it's 0 .36 .4 then the question is what is a probability there is a man and a survivor so in this case is this specific column, this specific cell, because you want to be the both conditions and then i divide that overall the population.
01:12
The result is 0 .1492.
01:15
And the question that is that if it's a boy or a girl, in this case i need to add 29 and 35 because i want to know if it's a boy, even though it's death or alive, the same case for women, for girls, sorry.
01:28
So it's 29 plus 35 and 27 plus 18.
01:32
This gives me a probability, the next to the same.
01:34
I added and then i find the proportion.
01:37
Then what is the probability there is a death man? so in this case there have to be a condition because they said the probability that first they find someone that is dead.
01:46
So i'll calculate the probability of fighting someone dead.
01:50
Then they tell you that that that the passenger was a man.
01:55
So then i have to calculate the probability of being a man between the death people.
02:00
So this would be the probability of being a man.
02:04
While the passenger was dead.
02:06
Then i multiply both conditions, understand what is the probability that both situations happens, and this would be the final result, 0 .61...