00:01
All right, in your question, you're dealing with airplane reservations.
00:05
We're told at the beginning of the question that the probability a person with the reservation misses the flight is given here by what i just underlined.
00:12
I've went ahead and figured out what the probability of showing up then would be, which is just to complement one minus that probability giving me this value.
00:20
We'll need that value for the second question.
00:24
Okay, i'm going to say let x, for the first question, let x equal the number of people with the reservation.
00:30
Who missed the flight, because question a asks you, what is the probability that 25 or more passengers miss that flight? this is what we would call a binomial probability, and i'm going to need to use technology to help solve it.
00:44
So what i'm going to need to do here is first to understand that the tool that i'm going to use won't work for a greater than symbol.
00:52
So i need to use a complement, one minus probability of x being less than 25.
01:00
So basically greater than or equal to 25 is the complement of less than 25.
01:05
Now the formula will look like this.
01:08
Bynome cdf, the number of trials, there's 290 trials.
01:15
That represents the number of tickets sold, reservations.
01:20
Your probability of missing is 0 .095, and the cutoff value we're looking for here is 25.
01:30
Now bynome cdf is found on a ti -84 calculator under the second distribution menu.
01:37
You're going to need that capability if you're going to solve a question like this.
01:43
Because it's pretty much, i'm not going to say it's impossible, but it's very tedious to do this by hand.
01:55
Alright, so i'm just typing that in, and we get an answer for part a of 0 .7399.
02:11
What that actually just did was calculate every probability 25 and below.
02:16
Now i'm sorry i actually just realized i messed that up.
02:19
This needed to be 24, not 25, because i want to be less than 25, which the first whole number less than 25 is 24.
02:33
Let me fix that answer.
02:38
It's actually 0 .8017.
02:42
Now that just calculated the probability of 24, 23, 22, 21, all the way down to zero, added all of them up.
02:52
So it's pretty important we have a capability to use technology to help with question like that.
02:58
Now for part b, i said let y stand for the number of people show up for the flight...