00:01
So in this ap statistics question, we wanna find the value of m using, and i may butcher this name, but chebyshev's inequality.
00:16
I'll call him cheb for the rest of this time.
00:23
So cheb's inequality states that for any random variable x with mean of u and a standard deviation, the probability that x deviates from its mean by more than k standard deviations is at most one over k squared.
00:44
And don't worry, we're gonna write out this formula.
00:50
So in this case, the mean of the cost of making the signature dish is 30.
01:00
The standard deviation is two.
01:04
And we wanna find the value of m such that the revenue generated from selling the dish exceeds the true cost of manufacturing it with a probability of at least 0 .99 over 100 -day period.
01:19
So let x be the random variable representing the cost of making the dish on any given day.
01:26
And the revenue generated on any day is the selling price, m, minus the cost of making the dish, x.
01:36
M equals selling price.
01:41
X equals cost of making the dish.
01:49
So we want to find m such that the revenue, m minus x, is greater than zero.
01:59
We're looking for m with a probability of at least 0 .99 for each day.
02:10
So using cheb's inequality, we can set up the following inequality.
02:16
P of m minus x greater than zero is greater than or equal to 0 .99.
02:25
So x has a mean of 30.
02:31
So we get p of x minus 30 less than m minus 30 greater than or equal to 0 .99.
02:47
Now we need to find the value of m minus 30.
02:54
And we know that cheb's inequality only provides an upper bound.
02:59
So we use the fact that the probability of x being within k standard deviations of the mean is at least one minus one over k squared...