Question

We are examining a new project. We expect to sell 5,900 units per year at $73 net cash flow apiece for the next 10 years. In other words, the annual cash flow is projected to be $73 × 5,900 = $430,700. The relevant discount rate is 16 percent, and the initial investment required is $1,700,000. After the first year, the project can be dismantled and sold for $1,530,000. Suppose you think it is likely that expected sales will be revised upward to 8,900 units if the first year is a success and revised downward to 4,500 units if the first year is not a success. Suppose the scale of the project can be doubled in one year in the sense that twice as many units can be produced and sold. Naturally, expansion would be desirable only if the project is a success. This implies that if the project is a success, projected sales after expansion will be 17,800. Note that abandonment is still an option if the project is a failure. If success and failure are equally likely, what is the NPV of the project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) NPV $ What is the value of the option to expand? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) Option value $

          We are examining a new project. We expect to sell 5,900 units
per year at $73 net cash flow apiece for the next 10 years. In
other words, the annual cash flow is projected to be $73 × 5,900 =
$430,700. The relevant discount rate is 16 percent, and the initial
investment required is $1,700,000. After the first year, the
project can be dismantled and sold for $1,530,000. Suppose you
think it is likely that expected sales will be revised upward to
8,900 units if the first year is a success and revised downward to
4,500 units if the first year is not a success. Suppose the scale
of the project can be doubled in one year in the sense that twice
as many units can be produced and sold. Naturally, expansion would
be desirable only if the project is a success. This implies that if
the project is a success, projected sales after expansion will be
17,800. Note that abandonment is still an option if the project is
a failure.
If success and failure are equally likely, what is the NPV of
the project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and
round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g.,
32.16.)
  
  NPV
$  
  
What is the value of the option to expand? (Do not round
intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal
places, e.g., 32.16.)
  
  Option value
$

Added by Cynthia M.

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