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2011 CFA Program Curriculum: Level 2, Volume 5

CFA Institute

Chapter 53

GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF CREDIT ANALYSIS - all with Video Answers

Educators


Chapter Questions

Problem 1

Explain whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: "The credit risk of a bond is the risk that the issuer will fail to meet its obligation to make timely payment of interest and principal."

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Problem 2

A. In addition to credit ratings, what other information is provided by rating agencies that investors can use to gauge the credit risk of an issuer?
B. How do long-term credit ratings differ from short-term credit ratings?

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Problem 3

What are some of the major factors considered by rating agencies in assessing the quality of management?

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Problem 4

A. There are various forms of back-up credit facilities available to a corporation. What factors should an analyst consider in assessing the back-up credit facilities available to an issuer?
B. What is a "material adverse change clause provision" in a back-up credit facility and what is its significance in terms of the strength of a back-up credit facility?

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Problem 5

In 1998 there were several developments in Europe leading to the liberalization of the European telecommunication industry. In October 1998, Moody's Investors Service published a report ("Rating Methodology: European Telecoms") addressing the issues in the rating of European telecommunication companies. Below are quotes from the report followed by questions that should be answered.
A. "We look carefully at a company's general funding strategy-the debt and equity markets the company accesses, and the sources of bank financing it arranges. . . This becomes more important the lower down the rating scale, particularly in the case of high yield issuers . . ." Why is the funding strategy of high-yield issuers of particular concern to Moody's analysts?
B. "As a very general rule of thumb, the larger the company's cushion of cash and assets above fixed payments due, the more able it will be to meet maturing debt obligations in potentially adverse conditions, and the higher the rating. In many cases, the size of this cushion may be less important than its predictability or sustainability. Moody's views the telecom industry as having generally very predictable revenue streams, which accounts for the relatively high level of ratings of the telecom industry compared to other industries." Explain why "predictability and sustainability" may be more important than size of a coverage ratio.
C. In discussing the financial measures it uses, the report explains the importance of "cash flow to debt figures." The report stated, "We also look at adjusted retained cash flow which includes any items which we view as non-discretionary to gauge the financial flexibility of a company, . . " What is meant by "financial flexibility of a company"?
D. The quote in the previous part ends with "as well as adjusted debt figures which include unfunded pension liabilities and guarantees." Why would Moody's adjust debt figures for these items?
E. In the report, Moody's looks at various measures considered in ratings such as coverage ratios and capitalization ratios, and shows these ratios for a sample of European telecom companies. In each case when discussing ratios, Moody's notes the "loose correlation" between ratings and ratios; that is, it is not necessarily the case that companies with the best ratios will always receive a better rating. Moody's noted that "inconsistencies underscore the limitations of ratio analysis." Explain why one might expect a loose correlation between ratios and ratings.

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Problem 6

What type of information can a credit analyst obtain from an analysis of the statement of cash flows?

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Problem 7

A. Using S\&P's definitions, what is the relationship between free cash flow, discretionary cash, and prefinancing cash flow?
B. What is the meaning of free cash flow, discretionary cash flow, and prefinancing cash flow?

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Problem 8

A. Why is the analysis of covenants important in credit analysis?
B. What is a negative covenant?
C. Why is covenant analysis particularly important for assessing the credit-worthiness of high-yield corporate issuers?

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02:22

Problem 9

What is meant by agency risk?

Sanchit Jain
Sanchit Jain
Numerade Educator
07:54

Problem 10

A. What is the motivation for corporate governance ratings?
B. What are some of the characteristics of a firm considered in assigning a corporate governance rating?

Jennifer Stoner
Jennifer Stoner
Numerade Educator

Problem 11

Explain the following two statements made by Robert Levine in "Unique Factors in Managing High-Yield Bond Portfolios," in Frank K. Reilly (ed.), High-Yield Bonds: Analysis and Risk Assessment (Charlottesville, VA: Association for Investment Management and Research, 1990), p. 36.
A. "One must understand the structure because not all debt that is listed as senior is actually senior debt."
B. "Intellectually zero-coupon bonds are troublesome when they are not at the bottom of the capital structure . . . From a credit standpoint, it is not desirable to have more senior debt growing faster than the subordinated cash-pay securities, thus offering less protection to the subordinated holders in bankruptcy. We prefer to see less debt that is less senior growing faster than the debt that is more senior-e.g., less above us in the event of bankruptcy."

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Problem 12

Explain why an understanding of the corporate structure of a high-yield issuer that has a holding company structure is important.

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Problem 13

The following statement was made by Stephen Esser in "High-Yield Bond Analysis: The Equity Perspective," in Ashwinpaul C. Sondhi (ed.), Gredit Analysis of Nontraditional Debt Securities (Charlottesville, VA: Association for Investment Management and Research, 1995), p. 54: "An equity perspective on high-yield bond analysis can be an important edge for an active manager:" Explain why.

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Problem 14

In the analysis of an asset-backed security, the analysis of the collateral allows the analyst to project the cash flow from the underlying collateral under different scenarios. However, this is not sufficient to assess the credit-worthiness of an asset-backed security transaction. Explain why?

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Problem 15

Why is it necessary for an analyst to assess the financial condition of a servicer in an asset-backed security transaction?

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Problem 16

A. Some asset-backed security transactions may be characterized as "true securitizations," while others may be more properly classified as "hybrid transactions." What is the distinguishing feature of a "true securitization" and a "hybrid transaction"?
B. How is the credit quality of a "hybrid transaction" evaluated?

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Problem 17

What are the four basic categories that are considered in assessing the credit quality of tax-backed municipal debt?

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Problem 18

A. What is the underlying principle in assessing the credit-worthiness of municipal revenue bonds?
B. In a municipal revenue bond, what is a "rate covenant" and why is such a covenant included?

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07:11

Problem 19

You are reviewing a publication of Moody's Investors Service entitled "Moody's Approach to Rating Regional and Local Governments in Latin America," published in August 1997. On page 3 of the publication, the following was written:
"A Moody"s credit rating is an independent opinion of the relative ability and willingness of an issuer of fixed-income securities to make full and timely payments of amounts due on the security over its life."
Why in the case of a sovereign entity is the "willingness" of an issuer to pay important?

Pragya Ahuja
Pragya Ahuja
Numerade Educator
03:26

Problem 20

A. Why do rating agencies assign both a local currency debt rating and a foreign currency debt rating to the bonds of a sovereign government?
B. How do the factors considered in deriving a local currency debt rating differ from those for a foreign currency debt rating?

Pragya Ahuja
Pragya Ahuja
Numerade Educator
06:35

Problem 21

Comment on the following statement: "The difficulty with analyzing bonds issued by foreign governments is the intangible and non-quantitative elements involved in the credit analysis. I would not encounter such complexities when analyzing the credit worthiness of domestic corporate bonds or domestic municipal bonds."

Crystal Wang
Crystal Wang
Numerade Educator

Problem 22

Krane Products Inc. is a manufacturer of ski equipment. The company has been in operation since 1997. Ms. Andrews is a credit analyst for an investment management company. She has been asked to analyze Krane Products as a possible purchase for the bond portfolio of one of her firm's accounts. At the time of the analysis, Krane Products Inc. was rated BB by S\&P. The bonds of the company trade in the market with the same spread as other comparable $\mathrm{BB}$ bonds.
Ms. Andrews collected financial data for Krane Products Inc. for the years 2000 and 1999 and computed several financial ratios. Information for selected ratios is given below:
$$
\begin{array}{lcc}
\hline \text { Ratios } & 2000 & 1999 \\
\hline \text { EBIT interest coverage } & 3.8 & 2.7 \\
\text { EBITDA interest coverage } & 5.9 & 4.1 \\
\text { Funds from operations/Total debt } & 28.3 \% & 24.5 \% \\
\text { Free operating cash flow/Total debt } & 19.2 \% & 1.2 \% \\
\text { Pretax return on capital } & 24.4 \% & 17.1 \% \\
\text { Operating income/Sales } & 25.5 \% & 19.5 \% \\
\text { Long-term debt/Capitalization } & 55.0 \% & 57.4 \% \\
\text { Total debt/Capitalization } & 57.1 \% & 59.5 \% \\
\hline
\end{array}
$$
Based on the first three quarters of fiscal year 2001, Ms. Andrews projected the following ratios for 2001 :
$$
\begin{array}{lc}
\hline \text { Ratios } & 2001 \\
\hline \text { EBIT interest coverage } & 4.5 \\
\text { EBITDA interest coverage } & 6.9 \\
\text { Funds from operations/Total debt } & 41.5 \% \\
\text { Free operating cash flow/Total debt } & 22.5 \% \\
\text { Pretax return on capital } & 24.2 \% \\
\text { Operating income/Sales } & 25.12 \% \\
\text { Long-term debt/Capitalization } & 40.5 \% \\
\text { Total debt/Capitalization } & 45.2 \% \\
\hline
\end{array}
$$
Ms. Andrews obtained from S\&P information about median ratios by credit rating. These ratios are reproduced below:
$$
\begin{array}{lrrrrrr}
\hline & \text { AAA } & \text { AA } & \text { A } & \text { BBB } & \text { BB } & \text { B } \\
\hline \text { EBIT interest coverage } & 12.9 & 9.2 & 7.2 & 4.1 & 2.5 & 1.2 \\
\text { EBITDA interest coverage } & 18.7 & 14.0 & 10.0 & 6.3 & 3.9 & 2.3 \\
\text { Funds from operations/Total debt } & 89.7 & 67.0 & 49.5 & 32.3 & 20.1 & 10.5 \\
\text { Free operating cash/flow/Total debt } & 40.5 & 21.6 & 17.4 & 6.3 & 1.0 & (4.0) \\
\text { Pretax return on capital } & 30.6 & 25.1 & 19.6 & 15.4 & 12.6 & 9.2 \\
\text { Operating income/Sales } & 30.9 & 25.2 & 17.9 & 15.8 & 14.4 & 11.2 \\
\text { Long-term debt/Capitalization } & 21.4 & 29.3 & 33.3 & 40.8 & 55.3 & 68.8 \\
\text { Total debt/Gapitalization } & 31.8 & 37.0 & 39.2 & 46.4 & 58.5 & 71.4 \\
\hline
\end{array}
$$
What do you think Ms. Andrews' recommendation will be with respect to the purchase of the bonds of Krane Products Inc.? Explain why,

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Problem 23

Credit scoring models have been found to be helpful to analysts and bond portfolio managers. What are their limitations as a replacement for human judgment in credit analysis?

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Problem 24

What are the two types of credit risk models used to value corporate bonds?

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Problem 25

Based on the current ratio and the acid-test ratio, has the short-term solvency position for HPS most likely improved or deteriorated from December 2005 to December 2006?
A. Improved. Both the current ratio and acid-test ratio have shown improvements from 2005-2006.
B. Deteriorated. Both the current ratio and the acid-test ratio have shown deterioration from 2005-2006.
c. Inconclusive. The current ratio and acid-test ratios moved in opposite directions from 2005-2006.

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Problem 26

The EBIT interest coverage ratio and the long-term debt to capitalization ratio for HPS for 2006 are closest to:
$$
\begin{array}{lcc}
& \begin{array}{c}
\text { EBIT interest } \\
\text { coverage }
\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}
\text { Long-term debt to } \\
\text { capitalization }
\end{array} \\
-{ 2 - 2 } & 2.47 & 12.8 \% \\
\text { A. } & 3.95 & 12.8 \% \\
\text { B. } & 3.95 & 19.1 \%
\end{array}
$$

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Problem 27

HPS's debt payback period for 2006 is closest to:
A. 11.83 .
B. 12.16 .
C. $\quad 14.79$.

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Problem 28

Which of the HPS covenants is most likely a negative covenant?
A. Govenant 1.
B. Covenant 2.
c. Covenant 3.

Rashmi Sinha
Rashmi Sinha
Numerade Educator
00:54

Problem 29

Which of the "4 C's of Credit" do each of Santos's first two statements most likely support?

Michelle Nguyen
Michelle Nguyen
Numerade Educator

Problem 30

Santos's third statement about the credit agencies" ratings of HPS's assetbacked securities is most likely related to which of the following?
A. Profit margin.
B. Credit quality of HPS.
C. Credit quality of the collateral.

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Problem 31

Which of the following is the most significant short-term risk being faced by holders of Fiber Optics bonds?
A. Default risk.
B. Downgrade risk.
C. Credit spread risk.

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Problem 32

Based on the information provided in Exhibit 1, the funds from operations (FFO)/ total debt ratio for $2009 \mathrm{Q} 1$ is closest to:
A. $11.04 \%$.
B. $12.02 \%$.
C. $16.46 \%$.

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Problem 33

Based on Exhibit 1, the pre-tax return on capital for $2009 \mathrm{Q} 1$ is closest to:
A. $4.05 \%$.
B. $4.88 \%$.
C. $6.97 \%$.

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Problem 34

Given EBITDA coverage ratio of 33 and based on Exhibit 1, the interest expense for $2009 \mathrm{Q} 1$ is closest to:
A. €16.15 million.
B. $€ 20.79$ million.
C. €22.42 million.

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Problem 35

Based only on FFO/Total debt and FOCF/Total debt ratios for 2006 through 2008 in Exhibit 2, which of the following is the most likely conclusion that can be drawn regarding Fiber Optics?
A. The financial flexibility of the company has improved.
B. Reliance on outside funding for financing has declined.
C. Internally generated sources of funding have grown at a faster rate than external sources.

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Problem 36

Of the covenants listed by Simone, which one is an example of a negative covenant?
A. I.
B. II.
C. III,

Rashmi Sinha
Rashmi Sinha
Numerade Educator