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Understandable Statistics Concepts and Methods

Charles Brase, Corrinne Brase

Chapter 7

Estimation - all with Video Answers

Educators


Section 1

Graphs of Normal Probability Distributions

00:16

Problem 1

Answer true or false. Explain your answer.
The value $z_{c}$ is a value from the standard normal distribution such that $P\left(-z_{c}<x<z_{c}\right)=c$.

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
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Problem 1

The value $z_{c}$ is a value from the standard normal distribution such that $P\left(-z_{c}<x<z_{c}\right)=c$.

Roee Shalom
Roee Shalom
Numerade Educator
00:40

Problem 2

Answer true or false. Explain your answer.
The point estimate for the population mean $\mu$ of an $x$ distribution is $\bar{x}$, computed from a random sample of the $x$ distribution.

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
01:21

Problem 2

The point estimate for the population mean $\mu$ of an $x$ distribution is $\bar{x}$, computed from a random sample of the $x$ distribution.

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
01:04

Problem 3

Answer true or false. Explain your answer.
Consider a random sample of size $n$ from an $x$ distribution. For such a sample, the margin of error for estimating $\mu$ is the magnitude of the difference between $\bar{x}$ and $\mu$.

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
01:56

Problem 3

Consider a random sample of size $n$ from an $x$ distribution. For such a sample, the margin of error for estimating $\mu$ is the magnitude of the difference between $\bar{x}$ and $\mu$.

Lucas Finney
Lucas Finney
Numerade Educator
02:58

Problem 4

Sketch a normal curve
(a) with mean 15 and standard deviation 2
(b) with mean 15 and standard deviation 3 .
(c) with mean 12 and standard deviation 2
(d) with mean 12 and standard deviation 3
(e) Consider two normal curves. If the first one has a larger mean than the second one, must it have a larger standard deviation as well? Explain your answer.

Trinity Steen
Trinity Steen
Numerade Educator
01:27

Problem 4

Every random sample of the same size from a given population will produce exactly the same confidence interval for $\mu$.

James Kiss
James Kiss
Numerade Educator
01:49

Problem 5

What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies.
(a) to the left of $\mu ?$
(b) between $\mu-\sigma$ and $\mu+\sigma ?$
(c) between $\mu-3 \sigma$ and $\mu+3 \sigma ?$

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
01:20

Problem 5

A larger sample size produces a longer confidence interval for $\mu$.

Tyler Moulton
Tyler Moulton
Numerade Educator
01:11

Problem 6

What percentage of the area under the normal curve lies
(a) to the right of $\mu ?$
(b) between $\mu-2 \sigma$ and $\mu+2 \sigma ?$
(c) to the right of $\mu+3 \sigma ?$

Trinity Steen
Trinity Steen
Numerade Educator
01:22

Problem 6

If the original $x$ distribution has a relatively small standard deviation, the confidence interval for $\mu$ will be relatively short.

Sanchit Jain
Sanchit Jain
Numerade Educator
01:28

Problem 7

If the sample mean $\bar{x}$ of a random sample from an $x$ distribution is relatively small, then the confidence interval for $\mu$ will be relatively short.

Diane Koenig
Diane Koenig
Numerade Educator
04:42

Problem 7

Distribution: Heights of Coeds Assuming that the heights of college women are normally distributed with mean 65 inches and standard deviation 2.5 inches (based on information from Statistical Abstract of the United States, 112th edition), answer the following questions. Hint: Use Problems 5 and $\underline{6}$ and Figure $7-3.$
(a) What percentage of women are taller than 65 inches?
(b) What percentage of women are shorter than 65 inches?
(c) What percentage of women are between 62.5 inches and 67.5 inches?
(d) What percentage of women are between 60 inches and 70 inches?

Ahmad Reda
Ahmad Reda
Numerade Educator
02:18

Problem 8

Distribution: Rhode Island Red Chicks The incubation time for Rhode Island Red chicks is normally distributed with a mean of 21 days and standard deviation of approximately 1 day (based on information from The Merck Veterinary Manual. Look at Figure $7-3$ and answer the following questions. If 1000 eggs are being incubated, how many chicks do we expect will hatch
(a) in 19 to 23 days?
(b) in 20 to 22 days?
(c) in 21 days or fewer?
(d) in 18 to 24 days? (Assume all eggs eventually hatch.)
Note: In this problem, let us agree to think of a single day or a succession of days as a continuous interval of time.

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
01:12

Problem 8

For the same random sample, when the confidence level $c$ is reduced, the confidence interval for $\mu$ becomes shorter.

Hoan Nguyen
Hoan Nguyen
Numerade Educator
01:50

Problem 9

At Burnt Mesa Pueblo, archaeological studies have used the method of tree-ring dating in an effort to determine when prehistoric people lived in the pueblo. Wood from several excavations gave a mean of (year) 1243 with a standard deviation of 36 years (Bandelier Archaeological Excavation Project: Summer 1989 Excavations at Burnt Mesa Pueblo, edited by Kohler, Washington State University Department of Anthropology). The distribution of dates was more or less mound-shaped and symmetric about the mean. Use the empirical rule to
(a) estimate a range of years centered about the mean in which about $68 \%$ of the data (tree-ring dates) will be found.
(b) estimate a range of years centered about the mean in which about $95 \%$ of the data (tree-ring dates) will be found.
(c) estimate a range of years centered about the mean in which almost all the data (tree-ring dates) will be found.

Trinity Steen
Trinity Steen
Numerade Educator
00:40

Problem 9

Sam computed a $95 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ from a specific random sample. His confidence interval was $10.1<\mu<12.2$. He claims that the probability that $\mu$ is in this interval is $0.95 .$ What is wrong with his claim?

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
02:22

Problem 10

Vending Machine: Soft Drinks A vending machine automatically pours soft drinks into cups. The amount of soft drink dispensed into a cup is normally distributed with a mean of 7.6 ounces and standard deviation of 0.4 ounce. Examine Figure $7-3$ and answer the following questions.
(a) Estimate the probability that the machine will overflow an 8 -ounce cup.
(b) Estimate the probability that the machine will not overflow an 8 -ounce cup.
(c) The machine has just been loaded with 850 cups. How many of these do you expect will overflow when served?

Sheryl Ezze
Sheryl Ezze
Numerade Educator
00:39

Problem 10

Sam computed a $90 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ from a specific random sample of size $n$. He claims that at the $90 \%$ confidence level, his confidence interval contains $\mu$. Is his claim correct? Explain.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
01:30

Problem 11

"Effect of Helium-Neon Laser Auriculotherapy on Experimental Pain Threshold" is the title of an article in the journal Physical Therapy (Vol. 70, No. 1, pp. $24-30$ ). In this article, laser therapy was discussed as a useful alternative to drugs in pain management of chronically ill patients. To measure pain threshold, a machine was used that delivered low-voltage direct current to different parts of the body (wrist, neck, and back). The machine measured current in milliamperes (mA). The pretreatment experimental group in the study had an average threshold of pain (pain was first detectable) at $\mu=3.15$ mA with standard deviation $\sigma=1.45 \mathrm{mA} .$ Assume that the distribution of threshold pain, measured in milliamperes, is symmetric and more or less mound-shaped. Use the empirical rule to
(a) estimate a range of milliamperes centered about the mean in which about $68 \%$ of the experimental group had a threshold of pain.
(b) estimate a range of milliamperes centered about the mean in which about $95 \%$ of the experimental group had a threshold of pain.

Trinity Steen
Trinity Steen
Numerade Educator
01:14

Problem 11

Suppose $x$ has a normal distribution with $\sigma=6$. A random sample of size 16 has sample mean 50 .
(a) Check Requirements Is it appropriate to use a normal distribution to compute a confidence interval for the population mean $\mu ?$ Explain.
(b) Find a $90 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$.
(c) Interpretation Explain the meaning of the confidence interval you computed.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
05:28

Problem 12

Let $\alpha$ and $\beta$ be any two constants such that $\alpha<\beta$. Suppose we choose a point $x$ at random in the interval from $\alpha$ to $\beta$. In this context, the phrase at random is taken to mean that the point $x$ is as likely to be chosen from one particular part of the interval as any other part. Consider the rectangle.
The base of the rectangle has length $\beta-\alpha$ and the height of the rectangle is $1 /(\beta-\alpha),$ so the area of the rectangle is 1. As such, this rectangle's top can be thought of as part of a probability density curve. since we specify that $x$ must lie between $\alpha$ and $\beta$, the probability of a point occurring outside the interval $[\alpha, \beta]$ is, by definition, $0 .$ From a geometric point of view, $x$ chosen at random from $\alpha$ to $\beta$ means we are equally likely to land anywhere in the interval from $\alpha$ to $\beta$. For this reason, the top of the (rectangle's) density curve is flat or uniform.
Now suppose that $a$ and $b$ are numbers such that $\alpha \leq a<b \leq \beta$. What is the probability that a number $x$ chosen at random from $\alpha$ to $\beta$ will fall in the interval $[a, b] ?$ Consider the graph
Because $x$ is chosen at random from $[a, b]$, the area of the rectangle that lies above $[a, b]$ is the probability that $x$ lies in $[\alpha, \beta] .$ This area is
$$
P(a<x<b)=\frac{b-a}{\beta-\alpha}
$$
In this way, we can assign a probability to any interval inside [a, b]. This probability distribution is called the continuous uniform distribution (also called the rectangular distribution). Using some extra mathematics, it can be shown that if $x$ is a random variable with this distribution, then the mean and standard deviation of $x$ are
$$\mu=\frac{\alpha+\beta}{2}$$
and
$$\sigma=\frac{\beta-\alpha}{\sqrt{12}}$$
Sedimentation experiments are very important in the study of biology, medicine, hydrodynamics, petroleum engineering, civil engineering, and so on. The size (diameter) of approximately spherical particles is important since larger particles hinder and sometimes block the movement of smaller particles. Usually the size of sediment particles follows a uniform distribution (Reference: Y. Zimmels, "Theory of Kindred Sedimentation of Polydisperse Mixtures," AIChE Journal, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. $669-676$ ).
Suppose a veterinary science experiment injects very small, spherical pellets of low-level radiation directly into an animal's bloodstream. The purpose is to attempt to cure a form of recurring cancer. The pellets eventually dissolve and pass through the animal's system. Diameters of the pellets are uniformly distributed from $0.015 \mathrm{mm}$ to $0.065 \mathrm{mm}$. If a pellet enters an artery, what is the probability that it will be the following sizes?
(a) $0.050 \mathrm{mm}$ or larger. Hint: All particles are between $0.015 \mathrm{mm}$ and $0.065 \mathrm{mm},$ so larger than 0.050 means $0.050 \leq x \leq 0.065$
(b) $0.040 \mathrm{mm}$ or smaller
(c) between $0.035 \mathrm{mm}$ and $0.055 \mathrm{mm}$
(d) Compute the mean size of the particles.
(e) Compute the standard deviation of particle size.

Carolyn Behr-Jerome
Carolyn Behr-Jerome
Numerade Educator
01:12

Problem 12

Suppose $x$ has a mound-shaped distribution with $\sigma=9$. A random sample of size 36 has sample mean 20 .
(a) Check Requirements Is it appropriate to use a normal distribution to compute a confidence interval for the population mean $\mu$ ? Explain.
(b) Find a $95 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$.
(c) Interpretation Explain the meaning of the confidence interval you computed.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
View

Problem 13

Suppose $x$ has a mound-shaped distribution with $\sigma=3$.
(a) Find the minimal sample size required so that for a $95 \%$ confidence interval, the maximal margin of error is $E=0.4$.
(b) Check Requirements Based on this sample size, can we assume that the $\bar{x}$ distribution is approximately normal? Explain.

Rashmi Sinha
Rashmi Sinha
Numerade Educator
06:10

Problem 13

Uniform Distribution: Measurement Errors Measurement errors from instruments are often modeled using the uniform distribution (see Problem 12 ). To determine the range of a large public address system, acoustical engineers use a method of triangulation to measure the shock waves sent out by the speakers. The time at which the waves arrive at the sensors must be measured accurately. In this context, a negative error means the signal arrived too early. A positive error means the signal arrived too late. Measurement errors in reading these times have a uniform distribution from -0.05 to +0.05 microseconds (Reference: J. Perruzzi and E. Hilliard, "Modeling Time Delay Measurement Errors," Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, Vol. 75, No. 1, pp. 197-201 ). What is the probability that such measurements will be in error by
(a) less than +0.03 microsecond (i.e., $-0.05 \leq x<0.03$ )?
(b) more than -0.02 microsecond?
(c) between -0.04 and +0.01 microsecond?
(d) Find the mean and standard deviation of measurement errors. Measurements from an instrument are called unbiased if the mean of the measurement errors is zero. Would you say the measurements for these acoustical sensors are unbiased? Explain.

Carolyn Behr-Jerome
Carolyn Behr-Jerome
Numerade Educator
01:19

Problem 14

Sample Size Suppose $x$ has a normal distribution with $\sigma=1.2 .$
(a) Find the minimal sample size required so that for a $90 \%$ confidence interval, the maximal margin of error is $E=0.5$.
(b) Check Requirements Based on this sample size and the $x$ distribution, can we assume that the $\bar{x}$ distribution is approximately normal? Explain.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
01:16

Problem 15

Allen's hummingbird (Selasphorus sasin) has been studied by zoologist Bill Alther (Reference: Hummingbirds by $\mathrm{K}$. Long and W. Alther). A small group of Allen's hummingbirds has been under study in Arizona. The average weight for these birds is $\bar{x}=3.15$ grams. Based on previous studies, we can assume that the weights of Allen's hummingbirds have a normal distribution, with $\sigma=0.33$ gram.
(a) Find an $80 \%$ confidence interval for the average weights of Allen's hummingbirds in the study region. What is the margin of error?
(b) What conditions are necessary for your calculations?
(c) Interpret your results in the context of this problem.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
02:14

Problem 16

Uric Acid Overproduction of uric acid in the body can be an indication of cell breakdown. This may be an advance indication of illness such as gout, leukemia, or lymphoma (Reference: Manual of Laboratory and Diagnostic Tests by F. Fischbach). Over a period of months, an adult male patient has taken eight blood tests for uric acid. The mean concentration was $\bar{x}=5.35 \mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dl}$. The distribution of uric acid in healthy adult males can be assumed to be normal, with $\sigma=1.85 \mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dl}$.
(a) Find a $95 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean concentration of uric acid in this patient's blood. What is the margin of error?
(b) What conditions are necessary for your calculations?
(c) Interpret your results in the context of this problem.
(d) Sample Size Find the sample size necessary for a $95 \%$ confidence level with maximal margin of error $E=1.10$ for the mean concentration of uric acid in this patient's blood.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
02:32

Problem 17

Plasma Volume Total plasma volume is important in determining the required plasma component in blood replacement therapy for a person undergoing surgery. Plasma volume is influenced by the overall health and physical activity of an individual. (Reference: See Problem 16.) Suppose that a random sample of 45 male firefighters are tested and that they have a plasma volume sample mean of $\bar{x}=37.5 \mathrm{ml} / \mathrm{kg}$ (milliliters plasma per kilogram body weight). Assume that $\sigma=7.50 \mathrm{ml} / \mathrm{kg}$ for the distribution of blood plasma.
(a) Find a $99 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean blood plasma volume in male firefighters. What is the margin of error?
(b) What conditions are necessary for your calculations?
(c) Interpret your results in the context of this problem.
(d) Sample Size Find the sample size necessary for a $99 \%$ confidence level with maximal margin of error $E=2.50$ for the mean plasma volume in male firefighters.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
02:35

Problem 18

What price do farmers get for their watermelon crops? In the third week of July, a random sample of 40 farming regions gave a sample mean of $\bar{x}=\$ 6.88$ per 100 pounds of watermelon. Assume that $\sigma$ is known to be $\$ 1.92$ per 100 pounds (Reference: Agricultural Statistics, U.S. Department of Agriculture).
(a) Find a $90 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean price (per 100 pounds) that farmers in this region get for their watermelon crop. What is the margin of error?
(b) Sample Size Find the sample size necessary for a $90 \%$ confidence level with maximal margin of error $E=0.3$ for the mean price per 100 pounds of watermelon.
(c) A farm brings 15 tons of watermelon to market. Find a $90 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean cash value of this crop. What is the margin of error? Hint: 1 ton is 2000 pounds.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
03:13

Problem 19

Thirty small communities in Connecticut (population near 10,000 each) gave an average of $\bar{x}=138.5$ reported cases of larceny per year. Assume that $\sigma$ is known to be $42.6$ cases per year (Reference: Crime in the United States, Federal Bureau of Investigation).
(a) Find a $90 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean annual number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the margin of error?
(b) Find a $95 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean annual number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the margin of error?

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
03:08

Problem 20

A random sample of size 36 is drawn from an $x$ distribution. The sample mean is 100 .
(a) Suppose the $x$ distribution has $\sigma=30$. Compute a $90 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$. What is the value of the margin of error?
(b) Suppose the $x$ distribution has $\sigma=20$. Compute a $90 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$. What is the value of the margin of error?
(c) Suppose the $x$ distribution has $\sigma=10$. Compute a $90 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$. What is the value of the margin of error?
(d) Compare the margins of error for parts (a) through (c). As the standard deviation decreases, does the margin of error decrease?
(e) Critical Thinking Compare the lengths of the confidence intervals for parts (a) through (c). As the standard deviation decreases, does the length of a $90 \%$ confidence interval decrease?

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
02:05

Problem 21

A random sample is drawn from a population with $\sigma=12$. The sample mean is 30 .
(a) Compute a $95 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ based on a sample of size $49 .$ What is the value of the margin of error?
(b) Compute a $95 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ based on a sample of size 100 . What is the value of the margin of error?
(c) Compute a $95 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ based on a sample of size $225 .$ What is the value of the margin of error?
(d) Compare the margins of error for parts (a) through (c). As the sample size increases, does the margin of error decrease?
(e) Critical Thinking Compare the lengths of the confidence intervals for parts (a) through (c). As the sample size increases, does the length of a $90 \%$ confidence interval decrease?

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
00:59

Problem 22

At wind speeds above 1000 centimeters per second (cm/sec), significant sand-moving events begin to occur. Wind speeds below $1000 \mathrm{~cm} / \mathrm{sec}$ deposit sand, and wind speeds above $1000 \mathrm{~cm} / \mathrm{sec}$ move sand to new locations. The cyclic nature of wind and moving sand determines the shape and location of large dunes (Reference: Hydraulic, Geologic, and Biologic Research at Great Sand Dunes National Monument and Vicinity, Colorado, Proceedings of the National Park Service Research Symposium). At a test site, the prevailing direction of the wind did not change noticeably. However, the velocity did change. Sixty wind speed readings gave an average velocity of $\bar{x}=1075 \mathrm{~cm} / \mathrm{sec}$. Based on long-term experience, $\sigma$ can be assumed to be $265 \mathrm{~cm} / \mathrm{sec}$.
(a) Find a $95 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean wind speed at this site.
(b) Interpretation Does the confidence interval indicate that the population mean wind speed is such that the sand is always moving at this site? Explain.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator
04:31

Problem 23

Jobs and productivity! How do banks rate? One way to answer this question is to examine annual profits per employee. Forbes Top Companies, edited by J. T. Davis (John Wiley \& Sons), gave the following data about annual profits per employee (in units of 1 thousand dollars per employee) for representative companies in financial services. Companies such as Wells Fargo, First Bank System, and Key Banks were included. Assume $\sigma \approx 10.2$ thousand dollars. $\begin{array}{lllllllllll}42.9 & 43.8 & 48.2 & 60.6 & 54.9 & 55.1 & 52.9 & 54.9 & 42.5 & 33.0 & 33.6 \\ 36.9 & 27.0 & 47.1 & 33.8 & 28.1 & 28.5 & 29.1 & 36.5 & 36.1 & 26.9 & 27.8 \\ 28.8 & 29.3 & 31.5 & 31.7 & 31.1 & 38.0 & 32.0 & 31.7 & 32.9 & 23.1 & 54.9 \\ 43.8 & 36.9 & 31.9 & 25.5 & 23.2 & 29.8 & 22.3 & 26.5 & 26.7 & & \end{array}$
(a) Use a calculator or appropriate computer software to verify that, for the preceding data, $\bar{x} \approx 36.0$
(b) Let us say that the preceding data are representative of the entire sector of (successful) financial services corporations. Find a $75 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$, the average annual profit per employee for all successful banks.
(c) Interpretation Let us say that you are the manager of a local bank with a large number of employees. Suppose the annual profits per employee are less than 30 thousand dollars per employee. Do you think this might be somewhat low compared with other successful financial institutions? Explain by referring to the confidence interval you computed in part (b).
(d) Interpretation Suppose the annual profits are more than 40 thousand dollars per employee. As manager of the bank, would you feel somewhat better? Explain by referring to the confidence interval you computed in part (b).
(e) Repeat parts (b). (c). and (d) for a $90 \%$ confidence level.

Jerrah Biggerstaff
Jerrah Biggerstaff
Numerade Educator
02:20

Problem 24

Jobs and productivity! How do retail stores rate? One way to answer this question is to examine annual profits per employee. The following data give annual profits per employee (in units of 1 thousand dollars per employee) for companies in retail sales. (See reference in Problem 23.) Companies such as Gap, Nordstrom, Dillards, JCPenney, Sears, Wal-Mart, Office Depot, and Toys " $q$ " Us are included. Assume $\sigma \approx 3.8$ thousand dollars. $\begin{array}{rrrrrrrrrrrr}4.4 & 6.5 & 4.2 & 8.9 & 8.7 & 8.1 & 6.1 & 6.0 & 2.6 & 2.9 & 8.1 & -1.9 \\ 11.9 & 8.2 & 6.4 & 4.7 & 5.5 & 4.8 & 3.0 & 4.3 & -6.0 & 1.5 & 2.9 & 4.8 \\ -1.7 & 9.4 & 5.5 & 5.8 & 4.7 & 6.2 & 15.0 & 4.1 & 3.7 & 5.1 & 4.2 & \end{array}$
(a) Use a calculator or appropriate computer software to verify that, for the preceding data, $\bar{x} \approx 5.1$
(b) Let us say that the preceding data are representative of the entire sector of retail sales companies. Find an $80 \%$ confidence interval for $\mu$, the average annual profit per employee for retail sales.
(c) Interpretation Let us say that you are the manager of a retail store with a large number of employees. Suppose the annual profits per employee are less than 3 thousand dollars per employee. Do you think this might be low compared with other retail stores? Explain by referring to the confidence interval you computed in part (b).
(d) Interpretation Suppose the annual profits are more than $6.5$ thousand dollars per employee. As store manager, would you feel somewhat better? Explain by referring to the confidence interval you computed in part (b).
(e) Repeat parts (b), (c), and (d) for a $95 \%$ confidence interval.

Nick Johnson
Nick Johnson
Numerade Educator
00:52

Problem 25

How hot is the air in the top (crown) of a hot air balloon? Information from Ballooning: The Complete Guide to Riding the Winds by Wirth and Young (Random House) claims that the air in the crown should be an average of $100^{\circ} \mathrm{C}$ for a balloon to be in a state of equilibrium. However, the temperature does not need to be exactly $100^{\circ} \mathrm{C}$. What is a reasonable and safe range of temperatures? This range may vary with the size and (decorative) shape of the balloon. All balloons have a temperature gauge in the crown. Suppose that 56 readings (for a balloon in equilibrium) gave a mean temperature of $\bar{x}=97^{\circ} \mathrm{C}$. For this balloon, $\sigma \approx 17^{\circ} \mathrm{C}$.
(a) Compute a $95 \%$ confidence interval for the average temperature at which this balloon will be in a steady-state equilibrium.
(b) Interpretation If the average temperature in the crown of the balloon goes above the high end of your confidence interval, do you expect that the balloon will go up or down? Explain.

Hossam Mohamed
Hossam Mohamed
Numerade Educator