STEP-BY-STEP ANSWER:
Step 1: Ensure that the historical data is accurate, complete, and relevant to the current operational context.
Step 2: Screen for outliers or anomalies that might distort the estimation.
Step 3: Verify that the data covers the relevant range of operations, so that the linear or nonlinear model is applicable.
Step 4: Use statistical tests to validate that the data meets assumptions required for techniques like regression analysis.
Step 5: Adjust the data collection process if necessary to improve reliability for future estimates.
Final Answer: Reliable cost estimates depend critically on high-quality data that accurately reflects the cost behavior over the relevant range.