Question

Calculate DVA in Example 24.6. Assume that default can happen in the middle of each month. The default probability of the bank is 0.001 per month for the two years and the recovery rate in the event of a bank default is $40 \%$.

   Calculate DVA in Example 24.6. Assume that default can happen in the middle of each month. The default probability of the bank is 0.001 per month for the two years and the recovery rate in the event of a bank default is $40 \%$.
 
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives
John C. Hull 10th Edition
Chapter 24, Problem 32 ↓

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The default probability per month is 0.001. Since there are 24 months in two years, the expected number of defaults is 0.001 * 24 = 0.024.  Show more…

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Calculate DVA in Example 24.6. Assume that default can happen in the middle of each month. The default probability of the bank is 0.001 per month for the two years and the recovery rate in the event of a bank default is $40 \%$.
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Key Concepts

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Risk Neutral Valuation
Risk neutral valuation is the framework used for pricing derivatives by assuming that investors are indifferent to risk. Under this approach, the expected cash flows, including adjustments for default events, are computed using a probability measure that reflects the risk of default, allowing for the incorporation of credit risk factors like DVA into pricing models.
Time Value of Money and Discounting
In the context of DVA, the time value of money is integrated by discounting future cash flows and expected losses to their present value. This practice recognizes that payments and losses expected in the future are worth less today, which is essential for accurately assessing the credit risk adjustments over the lifespan of the derivative.
Debit Valuation Adjustment (DVA)
DVA is an adjustment to the price of a derivative reflecting the risk that the bank itself could default, effectively reducing the value of the asset because counterparty credit risk is affected by the bank's own creditworthiness. It involves calculating the expected loss given the bank’s default and incorporating the risk of its own failure into the derivative pricing model.
Default Probability
This concept refers to the likelihood that a counterparty (in this case, the bank) defaults on its obligations within a given period, here measured on a monthly basis. Understanding default probability is crucial in calculating credit adjustments like DVA because it quantifies the frequency of potential default events over the maturity of the derivative.
Recovery Rate
The recovery rate is the proportion of the asset's value that can be recovered after a default occurs. In DVA calculations, it plays a key role by reducing the loss given default; a higher recovery rate means that the loss severity is mitigated, hence affecting the overall valuation adjustment.

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