00:01
So we have some people that are going to get a new drug and some people who are not.
00:05
And that shows that 10 % of the people are going to get the new drug and 90 % will not.
00:10
They'll just take the regular treatment.
00:12
And they have a cure rate and a non -cure rate, a cure rate and a non -cure rate.
00:17
And this one has a 50 % cure rate.
00:21
This one increases to 75%, but you still don't have a 100 % chance of curing.
00:26
And so in the first problem, we want to find what is the likelihood that you get the new drug and you're cured.
00:37
And that is going to be 0 .1 times 0 .75.
00:42
So that is 0 .075.
00:45
Part b, we want to know what's the probability, given that you know the person was cured, what's the likelihood that they got this new drug? and that's going to be the probability of d intersect c or d and c happening, divided by the probability of being cured.
01:04
And we have two ways of being cured...