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(Related to Solved Problem 10.2 on page 329 ) The federal government in the United States has been running large budget deficits. Suppose that Congress and the president take actions that turn the budget deficits into budget surpluses.a. Use a market for loan able funds graph to illustrate the effect of the federal budget surpluses. What happens to the equilibrium real interest rate and the quantity of loan able funds? What happens to the level of saving and investment?b. Now suppose that households believe that surpluses will result in Congress and the president cutting taxes in the near future in order to move from budget surpluses to balanced budgets. As a result, households increase their consumption spending in anticipation of paying lower taxes. Briefly explain how your analysis in part (a) will be affected.
a) The fall in interest rate induces firms to invest more funds. Thus there is more investment in theeconomy. The demand for loanable funds increases. The fall in interest rates reduces thesavings of funds. This is because opportunity cost of holding money is lower now. This reducesthe stock of loanable funds available in the country.b) In anticipation of lower taxes in the future, if people start spending more, they will withdraw theirmoney from bank accounts. This will reduce savings in the economy. The fall in savings reducesthe supply of loanable funds in the economy. This moves the supply of loanable funds curve back to S_ $\mathrm{S}_{0} .$ This moves back the quantity of loanable funds available at the equilibrium to and theequilibrium real interest rates to $\mathrm{i}_{1}$ . This nullifies the effect that government policies had on the economy.
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Chapter 10
Economic Growth, the Financial System, and Business
Section 2
Saving, Investment, and the Financial System
Markets and Welfare
The Real Economy in the Long Run
Short-Run Economic Fluctuations
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So if the government goes from running large deficits and eating up a lot of the low nable funds supply to having no deficit it all and having a budget surplus now what's happening is the supply of low noble funds is being increased. So that represents a rightward shift of the supply curve in this case from esto es one that's going to cause the quantity of low noble funds to go up and the interest rate toe fall. The demand curve, however, has not been affected. Now, in the second part of the question, we wonder that if the government plans to eliminate the surplus through tax cuts, then what will happen to this diagram that we have here? Well, in that case, since consumers were planning on spending the tax cut, one of two things will happen. Either one. Their savings will be unaffected because the money that they're spending is just the tax cut money. So savings is not actually being affected. It's just that they have more money to spend now because they're paying less in taxes, so nothing changes. The other option, though, is that they spend even more than the tax cut now if that's the case than that. Extras spending money has to come from somewhere and it will come from their savings. That would reduce the supply of low noble funds, which would reduce the quantity of low noble funds and raise the interest rate.
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