Question

Suppose that the price of gold at close of trading yesterday was $$\$ 600$$ and its volatility was estimated as $1.3 \%$ per day. The price at the close of trading today is $$\$ 596$$. Update the volatility estimate using (a) The EWMA model with $\lambda=0.94$ (b) The GARCH $(1,1)$ model with $\omega=0.000002, \alpha=0.04$, and $\beta=0.94$,

   Suppose that the price of gold at close of trading yesterday was $$\$ 600$$ and its volatility was estimated as $1.3 \%$ per day. The price at the close of trading today is $$\$ 596$$. Update the volatility estimate using
(a) The EWMA model with $\lambda=0.94$
(b) The GARCH $(1,1)$ model with $\omega=0.000002, \alpha=0.04$, and $\beta=0.94$,
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives
John C. Hull 10th Edition
Chapter 23, Problem 17 ↓

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94: To update the volatility estimate using the EWMA model, we can use the following formula: σ_t^2 = λ * σ_(t-1)^2 + (1-λ) * r_(t-1)^2 where σ_t^2 is the updated volatility estimate, σ_(t-1)^2 is the previous volatility estimate, and r_(t-1)^2 is the squared  Show more…

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Suppose that the price of gold at close of trading yesterday was $$\$ 600$$ and its volatility was estimated as $1.3 \%$ per day. The price at the close of trading today is $$\$ 596$$. Update the volatility estimate using (a) The EWMA model with $\lambda=0.94$ (b) The GARCH $(1,1)$ model with $\omega=0.000002, \alpha=0.04$, and $\beta=0.94$,
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