00:06
The tax be the value of the stock.
00:20
Now we'll create the probability model.
00:22
Given if the stock closes about 30, the option will be worth $1 ,000.
00:30
So if it is greater than 30, the value of x would be $1 ,000.
00:44
And if it closes below 20, the option will be worth nothing.
00:49
And if it closes between 20 and 30, the option will be worth $200.
00:57
So if it's between 20 and 30, the option will be worth $200.
01:00
The value will be 200 if it is less than 20 the value is 0 and the corresponding probabilities there's a 50 % chance and stock will be between 20 and 30 so 50 % 0 .5 and there's a 20 % chance that it will close about 30 and there's a 30 % chance that will close below 30 % chance that will close below 30.
02:00
So we have to find the expected value of the stock, e of x, which is summation x into p of x, there's 1 ,000 into 0 .2, 200 into 0 .5, plus 0 .3, which is equal to 200 plus 100 plus 100 plus 0, that is 300, and which is more than.
02:49
Than the actual cost that is given us $200.
03:12
So she can buy the stock...