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Ellen Lac

Ellen L.

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Viewed Questions

The number of hours spent studying by students on a large campus in the week before final exams follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of $8.4$ hours. A random sample of these students is taken to estimate the population mean number of hours studying.
a. How large a sample is needed to ensure that the probability that the sample mean differs from the population mean by more than $2.0$ hours is less than $0.05 ?$
b. Without doing the calculations, state whether a larger or smaller sample size compared to the sample size in part (a) would be required to guarantee that the probability of the sample mean differing from the population mean by more than $2.0$ hours is less than $0.10$.
c. Without doing the calculations, state whether a larger or smaller sample size compared to the sample size in part (a) would be required to guarantee that the probability of the sample mean differing from the population mean by more than $1.5$ hours is less than $0.05$

The number of hours spent studying by students on a large campus in the week before final exams follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of $8.4$ hours. A random sample of these students is taken to estimate the population mean number of hours studying. a. How large a sample is needed to ensure that the probability that the sample mean differs from the population mean by more than $2.0$ hours is less than $0.05 ?$ b. Without doing the calculations, state whether a larger or smaller sample size compared to the sample size in part (a) would be required to guarantee that the probability of the sample mean differing from the population mean by more than $2.0$ hours is less than $0.10$. c. Without doing the calculations, state whether a larger or smaller sample size compared to the sample size in part (a) would be required to guarantee that the probability of the sample mean differing from the population mean by more than $1.5$ hours is less than $0.05$

Statistics for Business and Economics

The potential outcomes framework in Section 3 - 7 e can be extended to more than two potential
outcomes. In fact, we can think of the policy variable, $w$, as taking on many different values, and then $y(w)$ denotes the outcome for policy level $w$. For concreteness, suppose $w$ is the dollar
amount of a grant that can be used for purchasing books and electronics in college, $y(w)$ is a measure of college performance, such as grade point average. For example, $y(0)$ is the resulting GPA if the student receives no grant and $y(500)$ is the resulting GPA if the grant amount is $\$ 500$.
For a random draw $i$, we observe the grant level, $w_{i} \geq 0$ and $y_{i}=y\left(w_{i}\right)$. As in the binary program evaluation case, we observe the policy level, $w_{i}$, and then only the outcome associated with that level.
i. Suppose a linear relationship is assumed:
$$
y(w)=\alpha+\beta w+v(0)
$$
where $y(0)=\alpha+v .$ Further, assume that for all $i, w_{i}$ is independent of $v_{i}$. Show that for each $i$
we can write
$$
\begin{aligned}
y_{i} &=\alpha+\beta w_{i}+v_{i} \\
\mathrm{E}\left(v_{i} | w_{i}\right) &=0
\end{aligned}
$$
ii. In the setting of part (i), how would you estimate $\beta$ (and $\alpha$ ) given a random sample? Justify
your answer:
iii. Now suppose that $w_{i}$ is possibly correlated with $v_{i},$ but for a set of observed variables $x_{y,}$
$$
\mathbf{E}\left(v_{i} | w_{i}, x_{i 1}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right)=\mathrm{E}\left(v_{i} | x_{i 1}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right)=\eta+\gamma_{1} x_{i 1}+\cdots+\gamma_{k} x_{i k}
$$
The first equality holds if $w_{i}$ is independent of $v_{i}$ conditional on $\left(x_{i}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right)$ and the second equality assumes a linear relationship. Show that we can write
$$
\begin{aligned}
& y_{i}=\psi+\beta w_{i}+\gamma_{1} x_{i 1}+\cdots+\gamma_{k} x_{i k}+u_{i} \\
\mathrm{E}\left(u_{i} | w_{i}, x_{i 1}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right) &=0
\end{aligned}
$$
What is the intercept $\psi ?$
iv. How would you estimate $\beta$ (along with $\psi$ and the $\gamma_{j}$ ) in part (iii)? Explain.

The potential outcomes framework in Section 3 - 7 e can be extended to more than two potential outcomes. In fact, we can think of the policy variable, $w$, as taking on many different values, and then $y(w)$ denotes the outcome for policy level $w$. For concreteness, suppose $w$ is the dollar amount of a grant that can be used for purchasing books and electronics in college, $y(w)$ is a measure of college performance, such as grade point average. For example, $y(0)$ is the resulting GPA if the student receives no grant and $y(500)$ is the resulting GPA if the grant amount is $\$ 500$. For a random draw $i$, we observe the grant level, $w_{i} \geq 0$ and $y_{i}=y\left(w_{i}\right)$. As in the binary program evaluation case, we observe the policy level, $w_{i}$, and then only the outcome associated with that level. i. Suppose a linear relationship is assumed: $$ y(w)=\alpha+\beta w+v(0) $$ where $y(0)=\alpha+v .$ Further, assume that for all $i, w_{i}$ is independent of $v_{i}$. Show that for each $i$ we can write $$ \begin{aligned} y_{i} &=\alpha+\beta w_{i}+v_{i} \\ \mathrm{E}\left(v_{i} | w_{i}\right) &=0 \end{aligned} $$ ii. In the setting of part (i), how would you estimate $\beta$ (and $\alpha$ ) given a random sample? Justify your answer: iii. Now suppose that $w_{i}$ is possibly correlated with $v_{i},$ but for a set of observed variables $x_{y,}$ $$ \mathbf{E}\left(v_{i} | w_{i}, x_{i 1}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right)=\mathrm{E}\left(v_{i} | x_{i 1}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right)=\eta+\gamma_{1} x_{i 1}+\cdots+\gamma_{k} x_{i k} $$ The first equality holds if $w_{i}$ is independent of $v_{i}$ conditional on $\left(x_{i}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right)$ and the second equality assumes a linear relationship. Show that we can write $$ \begin{aligned} & y_{i}=\psi+\beta w_{i}+\gamma_{1} x_{i 1}+\cdots+\gamma_{k} x_{i k}+u_{i} \\ \mathrm{E}\left(u_{i} | w_{i}, x_{i 1}, \ldots, x_{i k}\right) &=0 \end{aligned} $$ What is the intercept $\psi ?$ iv. How would you estimate $\beta$ (along with $\psi$ and the $\gamma_{j}$ ) in part (iii)? Explain.

 A Modern Approach

Suppose you are interested in estimating the effect of hours spent in an SAT preparation course (hours) on total SAT score (sat). The population is all college-bound high school seniors for a particular year.
i. Suppose you are given a grant to run a controlled experiment. Explain how you would structure the experiment in order to estimate the causal effect of hours on sat.
ii. Consider the more realistic case where students choose how much time to spend in a preparation course, and you can only randomly sample sat and hours from the population. Write the population model as
$$\text {sat}=\beta_{0}+\beta_{1} \text {hours}+u$$
where, as usual in a model with an intercept, we can assume $\mathrm{E}(u)=0 .$ List at least two factors contained in $u$. Are these likely to have positive or negative correlation with hours?
iii. In the equation from part (ii), what should be the sign of $\beta_{1}$ if the preparation course is effective?
iv. In the equation from part (ii), what is the interpretation of $\beta_{0} ?$

Suppose you are interested in estimating the effect of hours spent in an SAT preparation course (hours) on total SAT score (sat). The population is all college-bound high school seniors for a particular year. i. Suppose you are given a grant to run a controlled experiment. Explain how you would structure the experiment in order to estimate the causal effect of hours on sat. ii. Consider the more realistic case where students choose how much time to spend in a preparation course, and you can only randomly sample sat and hours from the population. Write the population model as $$\text {sat}=\beta_{0}+\beta_{1} \text {hours}+u$$ where, as usual in a model with an intercept, we can assume $\mathrm{E}(u)=0 .$ List at least two factors contained in $u$. Are these likely to have positive or negative correlation with hours? iii. In the equation from part (ii), what should be the sign of $\beta_{1}$ if the preparation course is effective? iv. In the equation from part (ii), what is the interpretation of $\beta_{0} ?$

 A Modern Approach

The following equations were estimated using the data in BWGHT: $$\begin{aligned}\widehat{\log (b w g h t)}=& 4.66-.0044 \operatorname{cig} s+.0093 \log (\text {faminc})+.016 \text { parity} \\&(.22)(.0009) \quad(.0059) \quad (.006) \\&+.027 \text { male }+.055 \text { white} \\&(.010) \quad (.013) \\n=& 1,388, R^{2}=.0472\end{aligned}$$ and $$\begin{aligned}&\begin{aligned}\widehat{\log (b w g h t)}=& 4.65-.0052 \text { cigs }+.0110 \log (\text {faminc})+.017 \text { parity } \\&(.38)(.0010) \quad(.0085) \quad (.006) \\&+.034 \text { male }+.045 \text { white }-.0030 \text { motheduc }+.0032 \text { fatheduc} \\&(.011) \quad(.015)\quad (.0030)\quad (.0026)\end{aligned}\\ &n=1,191, R^{2}=.0493.\end{aligned}$$ The variables are defined as in Example 4.9 but we have added a dummy variable for whether the child is male and a dummy variable indicating whether the child is classified as white. i. In the first equation, interpret the coefficient on the variable cigs. In particular, what is the effect on birth weight from smoking 10 more cigarettes per day? ii. How much more is a white child predicted to weigh than a nonwhite child, holding the other factors in the first equation fixed? Is the difference statistically significant? iii. Comment on the estimated effect and statistical significance of motheduc. iv. From the given information, why are you unable to compute the $F$ statistic for joint significance of motheduc and fatheduc? What would you have to do to compute the $F$ statistic?

 A Modern Approach

Questions asked

INSTANT ANSWER

2. There are 100 workers both in Home and Foreign to produce ice and tea. Home needs 1 worker to produce 1 unit of ice and 2 workers to produce 1 unit of tea. Foreign needs 2 workers to produce 1 unit of ice and 1 worker to produce 1 unit of tea. (a) Which country has a comparative advantage in ice? Which country has a comparative advantage in tea? The consumers in Home and Foreign have different preferences. Home's preference can be represented by a Cobb-Douglas utility function: \[ U_{H}\left(C_{H}^{I}, C_{H}^{T}\right)=\left(C_{H}^{I}\right)^{0.5}\left(C_{H}^{T}\right)^{0.5} . \] The consumers in Foreign, however, have a Leontief preference: \[ U_{F}\left(C_{F}^{I}, C_{F}^{T}\right)=\min \left(C_{F}^{I}, C_{F}^{T}\right) . \] Assume that there exists an equilibrium with complete specialisation. (b) What is the equilibrium production of ice and tea? (c) Let tea be the numeraire \( \left(P^{T}=1\right) \). What is the equilibrium consumption as a function of the price of ice \( \left(P^{I}\right) \) ? 1 (d) Find the equilibrium price. Why is this an equilibrium?

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INSTANT ANSWER

1. In the example of Lecture 8 (page 86), we have: \[ \begin{array}{c} \alpha_{H}^{C}=1, \alpha_{H}^{W}=2, \alpha_{F}^{C}=1.5, \alpha_{F}^{W}=2 . \\ L_{H}=100, L_{F}=80 . \\ U_{I}\left(C_{i}^{C}, C_{i}^{W}\right)=\left(C_{i}^{C}\right)^{0.5}\left(C_{i}^{W}\right)^{0.5} \text { for } I \in H, F . \end{array} \] Prove that an equilibrium with complete specialisation does not exist. (a) In an equilibrium with complete specialisation, what would be the production of cheese and wine? (b) Find the equilibrium consumption as a function of the relative price. (c) Find the equilibrium price. Is the equilibrium price compatible with complete specialisation?

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ANSWERED

Aishwarya Krishnakumar verified

Numerade educator

Consider two random variables, ? and ?, where ???(?, ?) = 0.025, ???(?) = 0.3 and ???(?) = 0.2 What is the value of ???(2? − 3?)?

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INSTANT ANSWER

A policymaker's loss function is given by $L = 1/2 (π_t -0.02)^2 + u_t^2$ and the Phillips curve is $π_t = π_e - ( u_t -0.04)$. What is the equilibrium level of inflation under rational expectations? Round your answer to the nearest one percent.

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ANSWERED

Andrew Davis verified

Numerade educator

We have the loss function and the Phillips curve: $𝐿 = 𝜋^2 + 𝜆𝑢^2$ and $𝜋 = 𝜋_-1 − 𝑎(𝑢 − 𝑢^n) + 𝑧$ Where 𝜋−1 is inflation in the previous period. The policymaker can see the cost-push shock 𝑧 and react to it. a) Substitute for 𝑢 in the loss function of the central bank b) Calculate the rate of inflation that minimizes the loss function

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INSTANT ANSWER

Q2*. \( [T] \) We have the loss function and the Phillips curve: \[ L=\pi^{2}+\lambda u^{2} \text { and } \pi=\pi_{-1}-a\left(u-u^{n}\right)+z \] Where \( \pi_{-1} \) is inflation in the previous period. The policymaker can see the cost-push shock \( z \) and react to it. a) Substitute for \( u \) in the loss function of the central bank b) Calculate the rate of inflation that minimizes the loss function

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ANSWERED

Rachel Gore verified

Numerade educator

The level of GDP of country A was ten times as high as that of country B ten years ago but it is only five times higher currently. Assume that GDP grows continuously. (a) Find the difference in the average annual growth rates of these two countries

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INSTANT ANSWER

c) Differentiate \( \mathrm{NX} \) with respect to \( \varepsilon \) and evaluate the derivative when the value of imports equals the value of exports. (Hint: Use the product rule and then manipulate the equation to fit in price elasticities of imports and exports.) \[ N X(\varepsilon) \equiv X(\varepsilon)-\frac{I M(\varepsilon)}{\varepsilon} \] The product rule states that for a function, \( f=u v, f^{\prime}=u^{\prime} v+v^{\prime} u \). Taking \( u=I M(\varepsilon) \) and \( v=\varepsilon^{-1} \) \[ \frac{d N X}{d \varepsilon}=\frac{d X}{d \varepsilon}-\frac{d I M}{d \varepsilon} \varepsilon^{-1}+I M \varepsilon^{-2}=\frac{I M}{\varepsilon^{2}}\left[\frac{d X}{d \varepsilon} \frac{\varepsilon^{2}}{I M}-\frac{d I M}{d \varepsilon} \frac{\varepsilon}{I M}+1\right] \] When the value of imports equals to the value of exports, \( X=\frac{I M}{\varepsilon} \). Substituting IM into the first term in parenthesis \[ \frac{d N X}{d \varepsilon}=\frac{I M}{\varepsilon^{2}}\left[\frac{d X}{d \varepsilon} \frac{\varepsilon}{X}-\frac{d I M}{d \varepsilon} \frac{\varepsilon}{I M}+1\right] \]

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INSTANT ANSWER

Q10. Efficiency wages and unemployment. The firm's cost per worker is the direct wage cost plus the turnover cost per worker: \[ W_{i}+\boldsymbol{h} \cdot \boldsymbol{W} \cdot\left[s+Z\left(W_{i} / W\right) \cdot f\right] \] Where \( h \) is the cost of hiring and training a new worker as a fraction of the wage. The (profit-maximising) firm should (of course) set wages to minimize this total cost. (a) When the wage is set so that this cost is minimized, the derivative with respect to the wage is zero. Derive this condition. (Hint: Note that according to the chain rule, the derivative of \( Z\left(W_{i} / W\right) \) with respect to \( W_{i} \) is \( Z^{\prime}\left(W_{i} / W\right) / W \).)

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INSTANT ANSWER

Q27. A factory shuts down where 1,200 people become unemployed and begin a job search. There are two states, employed (E) and unemployed (U), where the initial vector is: \[ \mathrm{x}_{0}=\left[\begin{array}{l} E \\ U \end{array}\right]=\left[\begin{array}{c} 0 \\ 1200 \end{array}\right] \] A transition probability matrix is given by: \[ \mathrm{P}=\left[\begin{array}{ll} \operatorname{Pr}(E, E) & \operatorname{Pr}(E, U) \\ \operatorname{Pr}(U, E) & \operatorname{Pr}(U, U) \end{array}\right]=\left[\begin{array}{ll} 0.9 & 0.7 \\ 0.1 & 0.3 \end{array}\right] \] where, for example \( \operatorname{Pr}(E, U)=0.7 \) is the probability that an unemployed individual finds a job by the next period. (a) What will be the number of unemployed people after (i) 2 periods; (ii) 3 periods; (iii) 5 periods; (iv) 10 periods?

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