A factory uses 3 machines M1;M2;M3 to produce certain items.
M1 produces 50% of the items, of which 3% are defective.
M2 produces 30% of the items, of which 4% are defective.
M3 produces 20% of the items, of which 5% are defective.
Suppose that a defective item is found. What is the probability
that it came from M2?