A market gardener faces the possibility of an early frost that would destroy part of the crop. The gardener can buy crop insurance. This creates four possible outcomes for the gardener's profit:
Freeze | No Freeze
No Insurance: 10,000 | 30,000
Insurance: 20,000 | 25,000
a) Based on expected monetary value, what probability would the farmer have to attach to early frost in order to make buying insurance a rational decision?
(b) Given existing wealth, the farmer has the following utility profile:
Profit | Utility
10,000 | 71
20,000 | 123
25,000 | 141
30,000 | 158
Based on expected utility, what probability would the farmer have to attach to early frost in order to make buying insurance a rational decision?