9. If returns are not independent and follow an autoregressive process such as $R_t = \rho R_{t-1} + u_t$, write down the expression for the variance of two day returns and show that the VaR is given by $VAR_2 = \alpha(\sigma \sqrt{2(1+\rho)})$ $W = [VAR_1\sqrt{2}]/\sqrt{(1+\rho)}$
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Step 1: The expression for the variance of two-day returns can be calculated as follows: VAR(2) = Var(R_(t) + R_(t-1)) VAR(2) = Var(R_(t)) + Var(R_(t-1)) + 2Cov(R_(t), R_(t-1)) Since returns are not independent and follow an autoregressive process, the covariance Show moreā¦
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