00:01
All right, we have a nice little expected value problem with a large casino where blackjack wins at this probability, 51 .6%.
00:11
And we're going with the assumption that everything's one -to -one, where if you win, you get the amount back, you gain the amount you bet.
00:20
But if you lose, you lose the amount you bet.
00:22
So it's pretty straightforward there.
00:26
So if you bet two bucks, let's do a nice bet.
00:29
Let's say you do five bucks, then if you win, you walk away with 10, however, you're getting plus five.
00:43
Whereas if you lose, you're getting rid of that five bucks.
00:49
So if you win, you get plus the amount you bet.
00:52
If you lose, minus the amount you bet.
00:54
So for a, what is the expected value to you, of a single game? so let's just say it's a buck.
01:02
For simplicity's sake.
01:04
Well, it's a buck times 0 .516, and we're going to add to it a buck times one minus 0 .516.
01:18
And that's going to give us 0 .032.
01:22
So what does this mean? well, let's think.
01:25
Where are we? the, where are you? most likely you're not the casino, unless you are the casino.
01:31
In which case, good for you.
01:35
But you're betting.
01:35
We're going to assume that we're the player.
01:37
So this is the net gain for the casino.
01:42
This is the casino's edge.
01:49
Whoops, subtract.
01:52
This is the casino's edge, which means they gained this amount for us.
02:01
Our loss is the negative of this.
02:07
So negative .032.
02:14
I guess this is a cent because this is a buck...