00:01
We're going to suppose the weekly amount of time students spend in the university library is normally distributed.
00:06
Here's our normal curve.
00:08
And the standard deviation, sigma, is 1 .5 hours.
00:12
So we took a sample of 100 randomly selected students and found the mean time they spent in the library was 6 .5 hours.
00:20
And we're going to make a...
00:21
The first thing we're going to do is make a 95 % confidence interval for the population mean.
00:25
So 95 % confidence interval for mu.
00:31
And the formula is as follows.
00:33
We take our sample mean, x -bar, plus minus z alpha over 2.
00:39
And it's z because we know the population standard deviation is normally distributed.
00:43
So it's a z distribution.
00:46
And then the alpha, i'll just put that in here, 0 .05, because 1 minus the alpha gives us our confidence level.
00:52
And then we're going to multiply that by sigma over root n.
00:56
So we have everything we need except the z -score.
01:00
The z -score that corresponds with that alpha is 1 .96.
01:04
So the margin of error is 0 .294.
01:07
And that comes from the z multiplied by sigma over root n.
01:14
This is our margin of error.
01:16
So we're going to take 6 .5 plus or minus the margin of error.
01:20
And that's going to give us our interval.
01:23
So 6 .206.
01:29
So and you'll write...
01:30
You often see it written like this.
01:32
6 .206 up to 6 .794.
01:37
So that's a 95 % confidence interval for the population mean mu.
01:43
And so what this means is that we are 95 % confident that the true population mean time for a college student to spend in the library is contained in this interval.
01:57
It's not a probability statement.
01:59
It doesn't mean there's a 95 % chance it's in there.
02:01
It's that we're 95 % confident we've captured it.
02:04
And let's say we were to bump this up to a 99 % confidence interval.
02:09
Well, this, without doing any calculations, the way we become more confident is we make our interval wider.
02:14
So we would go outside this round.
02:17
So we'd make it a little bigger.
02:18
I'll do it in a separate color.
02:19
Let's say it's this one.
02:20
We'd get a little...
02:21
We'd extend the confidence interval a little bit more.
02:24
If you're thinking about these values on a number line, so this is a number line.
02:38
Okay, two values here.
02:41
To make it...
02:41
To be more confident, what you do is you extend your interval.
02:44
You make it right bigger.
02:45
And then what you do, this alpha would change, 0 .01.
02:50
And then this z -score is going to get a little bit bigger.
02:53
And that's why it's going to get wider.
02:57
So now we're going to say we have a staff member who believes that students don't spend any more than two and a quarter hours in the library.
03:06
So our hypotheses for this statement, for this claim, would be that, all right, the mean is less than or equal to 6 .25 hours.
03:16
The alternative hypothesis is that the mean is in fact greater than 6 .25 hours.
03:22
Because the librarian's claiming, no, they don't spend...
03:24
They spend no more than six and a quarter hours.
03:28
But then the alternative would be, well, they could spend more than six and a half.
03:32
And so here we see the mean is six and a half.
03:36
We're going to say, hey, is this six and a half significantly greater than six and a quarter? and this is going to be a one -tailed test because we're looking strictly greater than.
03:46
So here's our mean, which corresponds to a z -score of zero.
03:51
And then we have some value up here, 6 .5, which is going to correspond to some z -value here.
03:59
And then what we're looking for is this 6 .5 value, is it significantly greater than? and actually, let me scale this differently.
04:07
Because we're going to test this at the alpha of 0 .10 level of significance, which means that we're going to have some critical value, i should say.
04:23
This is where i should have some...
04:24
We have some z -critical value, which corresponds to some critical x -value, x -bar value, such that the error to the right here is 0 .10.
04:41
And we're going to see, is this 6 .5, does that fall in here? so we're going to convert that 6 .5 into a z -score with the following formula.
04:49
Z is x -bar minus the mean of the sampling distribution divided by sigma over root n.
04:56
And so we have everything we need, 6 .5, 6 .25, and sigma we know, 1 .5 and n is 100.
05:04
Let's go ahead and do that.
05:08
And this is what we get.
05:10
So here we go...