Problem 3: Bayesian Network and Joint Probability
Consider the following Bayesian Network containing four Boolean random variables.
P(A=t)
P(B=t)
0.1
0.5
P(C=t|A=t) 0.7
P(D=t|A=t,B=t) 0.9
P(D=t|A=f,B=t) 0.6
P(D=t|A=t,B=f) 0.7
P(D=t|A=f,B=f) 0.3
P(C=t|A=f) 0.2
3.a Compute the joint probability P(A=f, B=t, C=f, D=t).
3.b Compute the posterior probability P(A=t|B=t, C=t, D=t).