00:01
Here we have a company's prices, a company prices its tornado insurance using the following assumptions.
00:07
The probability of a year with tornadoes is 0 .1.
00:10
So the probability of having a tornado is 0 .1.
00:12
Each year is independent, and we're saying that under the company's assumptions, calculate the probability that there are fewer than four years with tornadoes in a 21 -year period.
00:21
So that means that our n is going to be 21, and our x is going to be equal to 4.
00:27
Four.
00:27
So this is a binomial probability problem, which means that we have a fixed number of independent trials, right? it tells us they're independent.
00:35
There's 21 trials.
00:36
Our probability never changes, and there's only two outcomes.
00:40
That's why it's called a binomial problem.
00:42
There's only two outcomes.
00:43
They either have a tornado or they don't...