Question 7* (Similar to Strogatz 6.4.11)
Vazquez and Redner (2004, p8489) mention a highly simplified model of political opinion dynamics consisting of a population of leftists, rightists, and centrists. The leftists and rightists never talk to each other; they are too far apart politically to even begin a dialogue. But they do talk to the centrists; this is how opinion change occurs. Whenever an extremist of either type talks with a centrist, one of them convinces the other to change his or her mind, with the winner depending on the sign of the parameter r. If r > 0, the extremist always wins and persuades the centrist to move to that end of the spectrum. If r < 0, the centrist always wins and pulls the extremist to the middle. The model's governing equations are:
dE/dt = rE(I - E - C),
dL/dt = rL(I - E - C),
dC/dt = -rC(I - E - C),
where E, L, and C are the relative fractions of rightists, leftists, and centrists, respectively, in the population. Show that the set 1 + E + C = 1 is invariant. Analyze the long-term behavior predicted by the model for both positive and negative values of r. Interpret the results in political terms.