00:01
All right, so we have a large tank of fish from the hatchery is being delivered to a lake.
00:05
The hatchery claims the mean length of the fish is 15 inches, and the standard deviation is 3 inches here.
00:16
And then we take a sample of 53 fish, and the samples from the tank, and we want x to be the mean sample length of these fish.
00:28
What's the probability of the x is within half an inch of the claimed to popperature? population mean.
00:33
So the way i tackled this is i looked at the margin of error of our confidence interval.
00:39
So normally we'd have something like this x bar plus minus z alpha over two multiplied by the standard error, which is the standard deviation divided by the square of the sample size.
00:53
And this term here is called a margin of error.
00:56
And what we want is the margin of error.
01:02
We want this term to be less than half an inch.
01:08
So i'll do the calculations over here.
01:10
So 0 .5.
01:12
We want this whole thing, z.
01:14
I'm just going to write z for now, sigma over root n.
01:18
We want this whole thing to be less than half an inch.
01:21
And we have sigma and we have square of n.
01:22
So we just find z.
01:23
And then we're going to find z because if we find z, then we can find the probability.
01:28
So it's going to do that.
01:30
So essentially we're going to do is take 0 .5 divided by this term.
01:35
So 0 .5 .5.
01:36
So 0 .5 .5.
01:36
5 divide by sigma over root n.
01:42
Sigma is 3.
01:44
N is 53.
01:48
And this can be less than z.
01:49
And that gives us a z score of this, 1 .121.
01:55
So that's going to give us, if here's the z score of zero, we'll say this is 1 .21.
02:06
What we can do is to do a little lookup to look up to look up the z score in a, textbook z table or i use my spreadsheet and i found the air to left of it to be 0 .8875.
02:18
But that's not what we want because what that means is that's going to give us this.
02:27
Oh, and by the way, this is normal because our sample size is greater than 30.
02:31
I should say that.
02:32
That's why we have the normal distribution here.
02:34
All right, back to the graph here.
02:36
So it's 0 .887.
02:37
That's all this stuff.
02:38
But remember, we don't want that.
02:39
We want to be contained within a value.
02:42
So we want to be within the negative 1 .21.
02:48
So we want to be within this chunk here.
02:51
So we want all this stuff...