00:01
Hello students, we are going to write here probability of boom economy is 10%, probability of stable economy is given, probability of stagnant economy is given, probability of recession is given, we are going to estimate our expected return.
00:14
So basically in the very first case, if i write here for this, this must be written as this must be.
00:22
So in the case of stock, this must be written as 0 .10 multiplied by 25, which is 0 .10 .1, which is 0 .1 .1.
00:32
0 .5 multiplied by 12 and this must be 0 .5 multiplied by 4 and if i write here finally minus 12 multiplied by 0 .25.
00:47
So this total value is calculated as 3 .3 percentage.
00:51
These are the values in percentage already that's why we are using percentage in the end.
00:58
So in the second case, in the second case expected so basically this is expected return.
01:05
This must be expected return.
01:09
Now what would be in the case of corporate bond? corporate bond, this must be written as if i write here for this.
01:22
So let's erase this to make it more clear.
01:28
So if i write here for this, this must be point of one.
01:32
1 multiplied by 9, 0 .1 multiplied by 9 and 0 .15 multiplied by 7.
01:41
If i write here for this, 0 .5 .5 multiplied by 5...