An E. coli promoter recognized by the RNA polymerase holoenzyme containing $\sigma^{70}$ has $a-10$ box with the following sequence in the nontemplate strand: $5^{\prime}$-CATAGT-3'. (a) Would a $\mathrm{C} \rightarrow \mathrm{T}$ mutation in the first position likely be an up or a down mutation? (b) Would a $\mathrm{T} \rightarrow \mathrm{A}$ mutation in the last position likely be an up or down mutation? Explain your answers.