00:01
Here's a study about medicare from the year 2004.
00:05
This is projecting into the future.
00:08
So they put t equals zero as the year 2000, and then t is in decades.
00:16
So that means t equals 1 is 2010, t equals 2 is 2020, and so on.
00:20
That's important information to remember.
00:23
And this is percentage of medicare spending.
00:28
Medicare spending has a percentage of gdp.
00:31
So we want that to hopefully be relatively small.
00:34
We don't want to be spending most of our money on medicare, for instance.
00:38
So let's see what's happening.
00:39
They're asking how fast was that growing? so they actually want the derivative in 2010 and 2020.
00:49
So let's go ahead and do that.
00:50
This is a power rule.
00:52
Bring the two down in front.
00:53
0 .54 is double .27t plus 1 .4.
00:57
Okay, so in 2010, t is one, it's one decade after 2000, so p prime of one is 0 .54 plus 1 .4.
01:11
So we're spending, we don't know how much we're spending, but the growth is almost 2 % per decade.
01:21
So slow, maybe not a huge concern, maybe a huge concern, depending on what kind of politician you are.
01:28
In 2020, they're projecting this number p prime of 2 .0 .54 times 2.
01:38
It's never good if the growth is growing linearly, probably.
01:44
I don't know.
01:46
1 .08 plus 1 .4.
01:49
So now we're growing by 2 .5 % per decade...