00:01
Here i have drawn the markets for bagels and cream cheese, so we can figure out if these two scenarios a and b are caused by shocks to the price of flour or the price of milk.
00:11
So in scenario a, we observed that the price of cream cheese at equilibrium increases and the quantity of bagels increases.
00:19
We want to know if it's a fall in the price of flour or fall in the price of milk that may have caused this.
00:25
So if we assume that flour is an input for bagels and milk is an input for cream cheese, we can see how this affects both of their supplies.
00:34
So first let's do a fall in the price of flour.
00:36
So if the price of flour decreases, more people are willing to supply bagels because the inputs are cheaper.
00:42
So we're going to shift our supply to the right, just like that.
00:46
So this is going to cause, so this was our original equilibrium point, this is going to increase our equilibrium quantity, which is good.
00:54
That's what we wanted for bagels, right? and then if we are increasing our equilibrium quantity for bagels, since cream cheese and bagels are eaten together and they are complements, if more people are eating bagels, more people are going to be demanding cream cheese.
01:07
So let's shift that out to the right.
01:09
So this is our original equilibrium, and this is our new.
01:13
So we're saying that we're increasing our price, right? so this is exactly what we wanted to figure out for scenario a, right? we wanted the quantity of bagels to increase and the price of cream cheese.
01:24
Cheese to increase.
01:25
So it's looking like for scenario a, let's type this at the bottom here.
01:30
So it's looking like it could be explained by a fall in the price of flour.
01:38
Now let's just model a fall in the price of milk to see what would happen there.
01:42
So i'm going to reset our markets.
01:45
Okay, so if there's a fall in the price of milk, that means that supply for cream cheese will shift to the right, right, because more people are willing to supply if the inputs are cheaper.
01:53
All right, so so shifting our supply to the right.
01:57
And right off the bat, we can see that this is not going to be our scenario, right, because the price of cream cheese is falling.
02:05
Now, if we were to go through the rest of this scenario, since more people want cream cheese, right, the quantity is increasing.
02:11
Then demand for bagels will shift out.
02:14
And this will increase quantity, right? but this is in our full scenario because price of cream cheese decreases.
02:19
So we're sticking with our original solution.
02:22
Oh, i'm not sure where it went.
02:23
But we know that it's the price of flour that fell in order for this to occur.
02:29
All right...