00:01
Okay, so this question asks that if a coin is tossed six times, which sequence is more likely or are they equally likely? sequence one is heads, tail of the six times.
00:13
And again, it may not seem intuitive that it's equally likely to get six heads in a row compared to heads, then tails, then tails, and heads and tails and heads.
00:24
But that's kind of just how the statistics works behind it.
00:27
And they're both equal the probability of 1 over 2 to the 6.
00:35
Again, just because you've been getting so many heads, it doesn't make it more likely to get the tails.
00:41
Getting this very particular tails, tails, heads, tails, heads, sequence 2 is heads six times in a row.
00:54
And if you really think about it, just because you're getting heads so much, it doesn't make it more likely for, the next time to be at tails.
01:04
The pattern of heads and tails is just as likely as getting six heads in a row.
01:17
Two possible sequences is more likely.
01:20
The first one is heads, tails, tails.
01:26
Okay, so this question asks that if a coin is tossed six times, which sequence is more likely or are they equally likely? sequence one is heads, tails, if that makes sense.
01:38
Like there's no magical force in the universe that's making the coin more likely to flip onto tails next time just because you've been getting so many heads.
01:47
Each time you flip it, it's just a new, it's just a new one -half probability that you get heads, and a new one -half probability that you get tails.
01:55
So in both cases, the probability is one -half times one -half times one -half times one -half, because in option one -half, you have a one -half chance of being heads, one half chance you're getting tails, one half trying to get tails and heads, then tails and heads.
02:17
And option two, it's the same thing...