00:01
So i'm going to tackle this by drawing two markets for oil.
00:03
I'm going to draw a market for oil this year and a market for oil next year.
00:12
Markets are a story about prices and quantities.
00:16
They have demand and supply curves that we should always label.
00:22
And let's say they look something like this.
00:24
Now we have a shock, right? oil prices next year are expected to be lower.
00:31
Than this year, right? so the price here is lower than the price here, right? you see there's this gap in prices.
00:43
And this is maybe not a great equilibrium, right? we are thinking about how to maximize profits, how firms might change their behavior.
00:54
Well, think about how firms can make more money.
00:57
Today, oil is selling for high price.
01:00
Tomorrow, oil will sell for free.
01:01
Tomorrow, oil will sell for a low price.
01:03
We should try to sell more oil this year when the price is high, right? incentive is to sell more today when there's a better price...